Will Sabalenka reach the Wimbledon final for the first time?

In her quarter-final against Germany’s Laura Siegemund, Aryna Sabalenka had to draw on all her skills to avoid a surprise exit. After losing the first set, the Belarusian stepped up her game and deservedly won the next two sets. On her way to her first Wimbledon final, she now faces a strong American player who is playing in only her second Grand Slam semifinal and is rightly considered the underdog. However, a potential Sabalenka vs. Anisimova tip in favor of the 23-year-old from New Jersey cannot be ruled out.

After all, Amanda Anisimova has not only shown her best side at the All England Tennis Club, but also throughout the entire (short) grass court season. She has eleven wins in 13 matches. The tall American with Russian roots is brimming with confidence, but she must maintain the ease in her game on Thursday if the Sabalenka vs. Anisimova match is to produce a surprise result.

In terms of experience and mental strength, the advantages definitely lie with the four-year-older Belarusian, who already has three Grand Slam titles to her name and has been leading the WTA world rankings for some time now. In this first semifinal, the lady from Minsk will once again use her powerful tennis to play a decisive role in determining who will leave the hallowed turf in London as the winner and advance to the final.

Aryna Sabalenka – Statistics & current form

Aryna Sabalenka was astonished when she looked into her box for solutions after losing the first set in the quarter-finals against Laura Siegemund. The 37-year-old German annoyed the world number one with her varied play, numerous changes of pace and unbridled willpower.

The Belarusian won only 25% of the points after her second serve, allowed four break points in the first set and made significantly more unforced errors, despite having almost the same number of winners. The logical consequence was a 6-4 win for Siegemund, who, however, felt the full force of her opponent from Minsk in the following two sets. Sabalenka reduced her number of errors, served better and suddenly started winning the important points. She turned the match around 6-2, 6-4 and advanced to the Wimbledon semi-finals for the third time in her career.

Are all good things coming in threes for Sabalenka at Wimbledon?

The only problem is that the 27-year-old has lost both of her previous semifinals at the tennis classic in the English capital. In 2021, the right-hander lost in three sets to Karolina Pliskova. Two years later, she was once again defeated in three sets, this time by Ons Jabeur. At the third attempt, she is finally aiming to reach the final in London.

In my opinion, her chances are very good, because compared to previous seasons, the world number one has stepped it up a notch in 2025. Sabalenka has won 48 of her 56 singles matches in 2025. The 5’11” player reached the final of both Grand Slams so far this year, Down Under and at Roland Garros. However, she came up short both times. Nevertheless, her once very risky baseline game has stabilized significantly. The three-time Grand Slam winner appears balanced and stable in her strokes. Her first serve and forehand are weapons that are unmatched on the WTA Tour.

If the number of unforced errors remains within limits, I see virtually no alternative but to bet on Sabalanka and Anisimova to win. If the Belarusian triumphs in her sixth Wimbledon match this year for the fifth time in two straight sets, the Betano app is offering odds of 2.00 at the top.

Amanda Anisimova – Statistics & current form

At 23, Amanda Anisimova is still one of the young talents on the WTA Tour. This makes it all the more bizarre that the American’s most successful period is actually already six years in the past. In 2019, as a 17-year-old teenager, she sensationally advanced to the semi-finals of the French Open. That year also saw her win the first of her three professional titles to date.

However, the media hype meant that the highly talented American of Russian descent subsequently fell into a slump, complaining of mental problems and struggling to regain her top form for a long time. Anisimova played only eleven matches in 2023 and lost a third of all her matches in 2024. It is only this season that the tall right-hander has successfully worked her way back to the top of the world rankings. She is currently ranked twelfth, which is also her career high!

Anisimova is in full flow on grass

The 23-year-old has delivered impressive performances on grass in particular. She reached the final of the Queens preparatory tournament, eventually losing to Tatjana Maria. A week later in Bad Homburg, she was knocked out in the quarterfinals after two wins. Combined with her five victories at the All England Tennis Club, the American has now won eleven of her 13 grass matches since mid-June. She is in good form and confident, but for the sake of completeness, it should also be mentioned that Anisimova has already had to go the full distance twice and continues to struggle with periods of weakness.

This is one of the reasons why I am predicting that the young lady, who won the US Open twice as a junior, will see her winning streak come to an end on Thursday in the semifinal between Sabalenka and Anisimova. However, considering the serving power of both opponents, those who still want to bet on there being at least one tie-break in the match can get maximum odds of 3.00 at Bet365.

Aryna Sabalenka – Amanda Anisimova Head-to-head record

With almost all arguments in Sabalenka’s favor so far, the head-to-head record must be taken into account when looking at the Sabalenka vs. Anisimova betting odds. In fact, the American has won five of the eight matches played against her Belarusian opponent. However, four of these victories date back to 2019 and 2022. In three of the most recent four head-to-head matches, the world number one has come out on top. This was also the case in the round of 16 at the French Open a few weeks ago, when Sabalenka won 7-5, 6-3. Now the two women will face each other on grass for the first time.

Aryna Sabalenka – Amanda Anisimova Tip

Sabalenka and Anisimova have very similar playing styles. Both women are tall, have powerful groundstrokes, but at the same time tend to overpace themselves at times. Nevertheless, there is huge anticipation for the first semifinal in the women’s competition at Wimbledon 2025. After all, world number one Aryna Sabalenka will face twelfth seed Amanda Anisimova. This is already the Belarusian’s third Wimbledon semi-final, in which she will be aiming to reach the final for the first time. Her opponent, who is four years her junior, is playing in only her second Grand Slam semi-final.

Because Sabalenka already beat the American in two sets on clay at the French Open a few weeks ago, has significantly more experience overall and comes across as more mentally strong in many phases, I am convinced that a bet on the world number one makes more sense in the Sabalenka vs. Anisimova match. I’m going with the games handicap (-3.5) in favor of Sabalenka, for which VBET is offering top odds of 1.77. I’m betting five units.