Siegemund on a roll: Will the world number one be her next victim?

Laura Siegemund is currently playing what is probably the best tournament of her nearly 20-year career. The German has sensationally reached the quarterfinals of Wimbledon, making it into the top eight of a Grand Slam for only the second time in her career. After four straight-set victories, however, the native of Swabia now faces the world’s best tennis player and top favorite in this tournament. Unsurprisingly, a potential Sabalenka vs. Siegemund tip on the DTB lady could generate a nice profit.

The only problem is that Aryna Sabalenka is a three-time Grand Slam winner who has dominated the 2025 tennis season with 47 wins in 55 singles matches and is now finally looking to celebrate her first title on the hallowed turf of London. Basically, the Belarusian has everything it takes to be successful on grass. However, every now and then, it is her nerves that thwart the 27-year-old’s plans. If the underdog from Germany gets into the head of the favorite early on with her varied game, then at least a quiet prediction of another sensational upset can be considered before the Sabalenka vs. Siegemund match.

The Apple Pay betting providers disagree and expect an unchallenged victory for the world number one from Eastern Europe. Even for a confident two-set victory for Sabalenka against Siegemund, the odds are only 1.28 on average. Even one set won by the 37-year-old from Filderstadt would therefore be a big surprise, but one that the mental master is certainly capable of given her recent performances.

Aryna Sabalenka – Statistics & current form

Aryna Sabalenka is currently the measure of all things in women’s tennis. Although the 27-year-old has not won either of the two Grand Slam tournaments she has played this season, she reached the final on both occasions. Thanks to her overall victory at the US Open in New York in the fall of 2024, Sabalenka has now reached three Grand Slam finals in a row. The Belarusian already has three GS trophies in her personal trophy cabinet. She also has various Masters titles and has now been world number one for 45 weeks, which is a very long time at WTA level.

Sabalenka does not look unbeatable at Wimbledon at the moment

However, the powerful right-hander’s career on grass is still unfinished. Her two semi-final appearances in 2021 and 2023 are her best results on the hallowed turf in London. In 2024, she missed the oldest tennis tournament due to injury. So far this year, the Belarusian has not put a foot wrong. After Sabalenka was knocked out in the semi-finals of the Bad Homburg warm-up tournament by Vondrousouva, the number one seed has not dropped a set in her four matches at Wimbledon 2025.

However, the protégé of coach Anton Dubrov had to overcome some critical phases. After all, four of the eight sets played went into extra time with twelve or more games. The 27-year-old had to play a tie-break in three of her four matches. Bets on another tie-break on Tuesday in Sabalenka’s quarter-final against Siegemund are available at odds of 5.00 in the Bet365 app. With the Bet365 promo code, you can also claim up to $100 in bonuses from the British bookmaker.

Given the outstanding quality that the world number one can call upon and considering her record of 47 wins and eight losses in 55 singles matches this season, it is understandable that the Sabalenka vs. Siegemund betting odds paint a very clear picture in favor of the Eastern European. However, it should also be taken into account that the three-time Grand Slam winner is known for her uncompromising baseline play, takes high risks and is prone to short periods of weakness with simple errors. A bet on a games handicap in favor of the German could make sense in this regard.

Laura Siegemund – Statistics & current form

Wow! Those three letters sum up Laura Siegemund’s week so far. Starting without any great ambitions, the Swabian has surprised everyone – including herself. For only the second time in her professional career, which began in 2006 and has now lasted almost 20 years, Siegemund is in the last eight of a Grand Slam. In 2020, she reached the quarter-finals at the French Open in Paris, but that was as far as she got. This time, too, all rational reasons suggest that Laura S.’s success story will come to an end on Tuesday afternoon in London…

However, Siegemund was already considered a huge underdog in her second and third round matches. First, she didn’t give former Wimbledon semifinalist Leylah Fernandez a chance, then Madison Keys, the reigning Australian Open champion and top ten player, was also defeated in two straight sets. With another convincing two-set victory over lucky loser Solana Sierra in the round of 16, the 37-year-old has already secured one of the biggest successes of her career, along with €400,000 in prize money.

Can Siegemund unnerve Sabalenka with her flexibility?

Siegemund, who – as of Monday morning – still has a chance to win the title in doubles alongside Brazilian Beatriz Haddad-Maia, is brimming with confidence and goes into the knockout match on Centre Court at the All England Tennis Club with a perfect mix of ease, carefreeness, and momentum. The German has nothing to lose and will certainly have a game plan to cause problems for the world number one.

Such a strategy is based primarily on the versatility of the experienced Swabian, who has a good net game, all the technical skills to switch between slice and spin, and is also serving well in London these days. The right-hander, who is only 5’6″, is also in top shape and has nerves of steel.

It is quite possible that with her patient style of play and the many variations that have completely thrown her opponents off their rhythm so far, she will be able to make the match against the Wimbledon favorite closer than many expect. If the prediction of at least one set win for the world number 104 (!) proves correct, this would already result in odds of 4.10 at Winamax. If the DTB hope even reaches the semi-finals, odds of up to 12.00 will be paid out by the same provider. You can also get up to €110 in free bets with the Winamax bonus.

Aryna Sabalenka – Laura Siegemund Head-to-head comparison / H2H record

The only two meetings between these two women took place over six years ago. Sabalenka and Siegemund faced each other on the tour within three months in 2019. The Belarusian came out on top in two straight sets on both indoor hard courts and clay. In total, she only dropped nine games in the two matches. On Tuesday, however, the omens are quite different. The duel will take place on grass, it is a Grand Slam quarterfinal, and the 37-year-old from Filderstadt is currently riding a wave of euphoria.

Aryna Sabalenka – Laura Siegemund Tip

For days, the eyes of German tennis fans have been fixed on Laura Siegemund. With all the other DTB aces, both male and female, having been eliminated early on at Wimbledon, it is the 37-year-old who is flying the black, red, and gold flag. And she is doing so with flying colors! Siegemund has not dropped a single set in the tournament so far, is in the quarterfinals of the tennis classic in the English capital for the first time, and has already defeated some big names in Keys and Fernandez.

However, Aryna Sabalenka, currently the biggest name in the WTA circuit, awaits her on Tuesday. World number one, three Grand Slam finals in a row, three Grand Slam titles and 47 singles matches won in 2025 impressively underline this thesis. Nevertheless, the Belarusian, who is ten years younger, is not immune to slip-ups. Four of the powerful Eastern European’s eight sets had to be decided in tie-breaks. This is one of the reasons why my Sabalenka vs. Siegemund tip is that the German will be able to keep the match relatively open. The games handicap (+5.5) is a promising compromise, which brings VBET odds of 1.84 and is worth a stake of five units to me.