Is the Kempen native now reaching his limits?
Before Jan-Lennard Struff fought his way through qualifying, the 2025 US Open threatened to become a debacle from a German perspective. It was a close call, but it would have been the lowest number of German players at the hard court Grand Slam in New York City in 40 years. This makes it all the more remarkable that Daniel Altmaier, who had won only one singles match at Flushing Meadows prior to this year’s tournament, is now in the third round after two memorable matches and a total playing time of over nine hours.
If Daniel Altmaier’s tip against Alex de Minaur also pays off, an unexpectedly long run would be conceivable, as the other seeded players in section four of the tournament tree have already been eliminated, meaning that the German would no longer be the clear underdog in the round of 16 against either Kamil Majchrzak or Leandro Riedl.
Against de Minaur, whom Altmaier clearly lost to 0-2 in Rotterdam in February, the 28-year-old could now reach his limits. The Australian started from eighth seed, recorded two absolutely clean 3-0 victories and has 20 wins from 28 singles matches played at Flushing Meadows. And yet, after his two remarkable performances and his recent 3-2 comeback victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas, in which he saved a match point, we believe the German is capable of winning a set in this match, which is why our main tip is aimed precisely at that.
Alex de Minaur, who most recently defeated Japan’s Shintaro Mochizuki (ATP 112) in two hours and two minutes, losing only eight games (6-2, 6-4, and 6-2), is not one of the strongest servers on the ATP Tour, which is definitely an opportunity for Daniel Altmaier, whose greatest strength is his return game. The favorite’s first serve won only 69 percent of points, giving hope that the player from Kempen will be able to impose his own game on the big favorite at times in a best-of-five-set match.
Those who are not afraid to take risks can even consider placing a handicap of +1.5 sets on Daniel Altmaier against Alex de Minaur at odds of 4.15 via the practical NEO.bet app, which includes any further sensational victory as well as a 3:2 victory for the Australian.
Daniel Altmaier – Alex de Minaur Head-to-head record
Head to head: 0:1
In February 2025, the two athletes crossed paths for the first and only time so far in the quarterfinals of the ABN AMRO Open in Rotterdam. At the hard court tournament in the Netherlands, Daniel Altmaier was completely outplayed by the Australian and lost in two quick sets, 0:2 (1:6 and 4:6). Alex de Minaur therefore leads in the head-to-head comparison.
Daniel Altmaier – Alex de Minaur Tip
On paper, the prediction for Daniel Altmaier vs. Alex de Minaur must of course be a victory for the world number eight from Down Under, who has not put a foot wrong in New York City so far and has lived up to his role as favorite with two clean 3-0 victories. However, the German has not beaten just anyone in Hamad Medjedovic (ATP 57) and Stefanos Tsitsipas (ATP 28), but two established ATP stars in matches that both lasted close to five hours, convincing both mentally and physically.
If the Kempen native has made good use of his day off, he should definitely have enough energy to stand up to the Australian. It is therefore interesting to bet that the German will not go out without a fight, but will win at least one set. The betting odds for Daniel Altmaier against Alex de Minaur are 2.05, which we are betting on at Interwetten with four out of ten units.
