Will the player from Kempen reach the quarter-finals?

For Daniel Altmaier, whose playing style is clearly geared towards slow clay courts, the short grass season was no joy. The player from Kempen won only one of his last five singles matches before the start of the tournament in Los Cabos, Mexico. However, the Solflex hard court in Mexico suits the 26-year-old much better. He started with an easy 2-0 victory over Mitchell Krüger. And now, with Daniel Altmaier facing Tristan Schoolkate, the odds are clearly in favor of a German victory.

The Australian Tristan Schoolkate is having a completely unremarkable season and has hardly made an appearance on the ATP Tour so far. Before his 2-1 comeback victory in his opening match against Chinese qualifier Yibing Wu, the man from Down Under played only six singles matches in the men’s top division in 2025, losing four of them. Although there are no head-to-head statistics available yet, our Daniel Altmaier vs. Tristan Schoolkate prediction clearly favors the German.

It should be noted that 2025 has not been an overly successful year for Daniel Altmaier either. In Los Cabos, the Kempen native celebrated his 14th victory in his 31st singles match on the ATP Tour. Nevertheless, the 26-year-old has already established a certain standing, which is underlined by the fact that he started the 2025 Los Cabos Open as the number five seed.

Daniel Altmaier – Statistics & current form

The 26-year-old German Daniel Altmaier made his mark for the first time in 2020 when he promptly advanced to the round of 16 in his very first appearance in a men’s singles Grand Slam tournament at the French Open. Roland Garros remained the best major tournament for the player from Kempen, who was again among the last 16 players in 2025 at the only Grand Slam on the ATP Tour played on clay.

A glance at his win rates at the four Grand Slams shows just how much the current world number 61’s performance drops on other surfaces. His impressive 64 percent at the French Open contrasts with 25 percent at the US Open and just 20 percent at both Wimbledon and the Australian Open. Daniel Altmaier was once again eliminated in the very first round at this year’s edition of The Championships. The faster the surface, the worse his results.

Daniel Altmaier with a strong performance in his opening match

The German will therefore be delighted that the grass court season has come to an end with the Wimbledon final at the weekend. Daniel Altmaier won just one of his last five singles matches on the ATP Tour. The Solflex hard court in Mexico, on the other hand, allowed him to regularly get into the return game in his opening match against Mitchell Krüger (ATP 159). The result was a clean 2-0 victory in 92 minutes (6-4, 6-3).

On the one hand, the Kempen native only dropped one service game and scored directly with his first serve in 85 percent of all cases. On the other hand, he was always alert to his opponent’s second serves and won 58 percent of return points against second serves. If he can bring these stats to the court in the round of 16, nothing stands in the way of Daniel Altmaier’s entry into the quarterfinals of the Los Cabos Open 2025 against Tristan Schoolkate.

Tristan Schoolkate – Statistics & current form

The 24-year-old Australian Tristan Schoolkate turned pro in 2020 after competing in all junior singles Grand Slam tournaments in 2019, his last year as a junior – albeit without any real success, as his best results were reaching the third round at Wimbledon and the US Open. As a pro, he has mostly failed to make it through qualifying. After five unsuccessful attempts, he finally made his debut at his home tournament, the Australian Open, in 2025.

However, his run came to an end in the second round. Tristan Schoolkate has competed in three Grand Slam tournaments in total. He missed out on his debut at the Wimbledon Championships after losing 0-2 to Benjamin Hassan (ATP 193) in the second qualifying round. No wonder he is now considered the underdog. NEO.bet, where new customers can choose between two different bonuses with the NEO.bet bonus, is offering odds of 2.36 for Daniel Altmaier to beat Tristan Schoolkate.

Tristan Schoolkate needs to improve on his second serve

It is remarkable that the number 110 in the ATP world rankings is only playing his 13th singles match on the ATP Tour (note: matches played in qualifying rounds do not count towards the ranking), having celebrated only his fourth victory ever in the opening match of the Los Cabos Open 2025. It was a shaky triumph, too, after he lost the first set to Chinese qualifier Yibing Wu (ATP 259) before coming back to win 2-1 (4-6, 6-4, 6-1).

The player from Down Under was particularly vulnerable on his second serve, winning only 20 of 34 points, giving him a second-serve winning percentage of 59 percent. This could quickly prove to be his undoing against the German, who is so strong on returns, although at least his nerves held up. Unlike Yibing Wu, who saved only three of six break points, Tristan Schoolkate saved five of six, which ultimately made the small difference in the three-set match and was enough to secure a narrow victory.

Daniel Altmaier – Tristan Schoolkate Head-to-head record

Head to head: 0:0

There has never been a ranked singles match between these two athletes, who are now facing each other for the first time ever. Consequently, there is no head-to-head data available that could influence our prediction for Daniel Altmaier against Tristan Schoolkate in any way.

Daniel Altmaier – Tristan Schoolkate Tip

Our analysis has revealed little to suggest that Daniel Altmaier will not secure another victory. He did not put a foot wrong in his opening match and started the 2025 Los Cabos Open from fifth in the seedings, making him one of the favorites. The Solflex hard court at the Cabo Sports Complex also suits the German much better than the fast grass, where he has recently failed to produce results. In addition, his challenger from Down Under is still a very rare guest in the main fields of ATP Tour tournaments and plays almost exclusively on the second-tier Challenger Tour, where he has already won two singles titles in 2025.

Nevertheless, it would be highly surprising if the player from Kempen were to be eliminated in the round of 16 of the 2025 Los Cabos Open. Bold bettors could even place a small handicap on the German or try their luck with a bet on a clean two-set victory. However, in our opinion, the two-way system already offers enough value, so we are going to go for the 26-year-old DTB player to win without any frills.