Will the Sextner flex his muscles again?

So far, neither Luca Nardi nor Aleksandar Vukic have been able to even come close to world number one Jannik Sinner. The South Tyrolean marched to two comfortable 3-0 victories at breakneck speed, dropping just twelve games in six sets – an average of only two games per set. If he stays on this track, betting on Jannik Sinner against Pedro Martinez with a generous game handicap on the Sextner could yield attractive odds.

Pedro Martinez is not expected to put up much of a fight, having won only 13 of 32 singles matches in Grand Slam tournaments in the run-up to the 2025 Wimbledon Championships. The player from the east coast of Spain also lost the only singles match against the Sextner 0-2, which is why even the prediction that the 28-year-old Spaniard will win a set against Jannik Sinner seems completely unrealistic.

Ultimately, it will probably just be a question of how quickly and how clearly Sinner wins. We expect a clear 3-0 victory in probably well under two hours again. In this context, it is very interesting to place a handicap of -10.5 games on the Italian, for which VBET is offering odds of 1.89 for Jannik Sinner against Pedro Martinez.

Jannik Sinner – Statistics & current form

After two matches, he has once again impressively lived up to his role as favorite. In six sets, the South Tyrolean, who had to serve a three-month doping ban after his overall victory at the 2025 Australian Open, conceded just twelve games in total – an average of only two games per set.

Accordingly, there is no alternative to betting on Jannik Sinner against Pedro Martinez, with the Italian now set to storm into the round of 16 with another quick 3-0 victory, where he will once again be the clear favorite against either Grigor Dimitrov or Sebastian Ofner. After all, the 23-year-old shooting star of the ATP Tour has lost only three of his 24 singles matches in 2025 so far.

Jannik Sinner with an incredibly dominant serve

It should be noted that Wimbledon is the only one of the four Grand Slam tournaments where Jannik Sinner has never reached the final. However, since his first-round exit on his debut in 2021, the South Tyrolean has always reached the quarter-finals here. He has won 15 matches at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, losing only four.

The South Tyrolean once again showed his strength in the second round against Aleksandar Vukic (ATP 93). It took just 101 minutes for him to seal a clean 3-0 victory, in which Jannik Sinner not only did not lose a single service game, but also completely dictated the match with his serve. Although he served his second serve very hard and won 76 percent of the points with it, which is an absolutely above-average figure, the 23-year-old world number one did not make a single double fault. This underlines his formidable form.

Pedro Martinez – Statistics & current form

For 28-year-old Spaniard Pedro Martinez Portero, reaching the third round of the Wimbledon Championships is a huge achievement in itself. The player from the east coast of Spain is currently participating in the men’s singles of a Grand Slam tournament for the 20th time and has only reached the third round three times before. However, he has never made it through unscathed. Should that change now, it would certainly be a real sensation.

After all, the 28-year-old is going into this match as a clear underdog. At Bet365, where in addition to the usual Bet365 bonus, a Bet365 voucher can currently be claimed, odds of 29.00 are being paid for a surprise victory by Jannik Sinner against Pedro Martinez, who is ranked 52nd in the world but is likely to secure his comeback into the top 50 with a place in the third round.

Pedro Martinez with plenty of room for improvement on his serve

After a somewhat shaky performance against British wild card George Loffhagen in the first round, when he came back from 0-1 down to win 3-1, Pedro Martinez managed to secure a smooth 3-0 victory in the second round. However, the three sets against Mariano Navone (ATP 91) went the distance, lasting a total of 37 games (7-5, 7-5, and 7-6), and could easily have ended differently at many points.

For example, the Spaniard allowed nine break points against him, two-thirds of which he was able to save (six), while he earned ten break points himself, half of which he converted (five). On his own serve, however, the Spaniard struggled for the most part. The 28-year-old did not manage a single ace, but made five double faults. When his first serve landed, it only led to a point in 65 percent of cases. With statistics like these, it probably won’t be long before Jannik Sinner lands the first break, which should quickly steer the match in the expected direction.

Jannik Sinner – Pedro Martinez Head-to-head record / H2H record

Head to head: 1:0

The two players have only crossed paths once on the ATP Tour so far. That match took place on clay at the 2022 Rome Masters, when Jannik Sinner cruised to a 2-0 victory over Jaume Munar in the first round (6-4, 6-3).

Jannik Sinner – Pedro Martinez Tip

The betting odds from the top bookmakers are clearly in favor of Jannik Sinner against Pedro Martinez, with top odds of just 1.01 being offered for a victory for the South Tyrolean. Some bookmakers are not even offering the virtually unbeatable tip on the Sextner’s victory, which is a clear indication that this uneven duel will only be about how quickly and effortlessly the world number one can overcome the not-too-great hurdle in the third round. With a record of only 15 wins from 34 singles matches at Grand Slams, the Spaniard has not delivered particularly convincing results so far.

The only direct duel between the two athletes to date, which took place on clay in Rome in 2022, also went to the South Tyrolean. We are still expecting a clean 3-0 victory and maintain our prediction that Jannik Sinner will beat Pedro Martinez by a margin of eleven games, meaning that the Spaniard will win a maximum of seven games in a three-set match.