Will the Czech player stop last year’s finalist?
After her back injury, Barbora Krejcikova is playing well again after a cautious comeback at the 2025 US Open. The Czech, unseeded, celebrated two clean 2-0 victories in the first two rounds, knocking out Victoria Mboko, the number 22 seed, before eliminating two American players from the competition with two 2-1 victories. Now she faces another local hero – this time a genuine one. The top betting providers are leaning towards Jessica Pegula against Barbora Krejcikova, suggesting that the saying “all good things come in threes” will not hold true this time.
The favorite is clearly Jessica Pegula, who reached the final of the hard court Grand Slam in New York City a year ago, but lost to Aryna Sabalenka in two close sets. Last year’s finalist from Buffalo, New York, recorded four clear 2-0 victories and eliminated three-time US Open finalist Victoria Azarenka, among others. Nevertheless, we do not rule out the possibility that the American will now stumble. A very interesting approach is therefore the Jessica Pegula vs. Barbora Krejcikova prediction, betting that this quarterfinal will be decided in straight sets – regardless of who the winner is in the end.
In a direct comparison, Barbora Krejcikova leads 2-1, having won the last two matches against Jessica Pegula – the last encounter at the 2024 WTA Finals even ended in a straight 2-0 victory. In fact, only one of the three matches between the two women went the full distance. Considering that the odds offered by betting providers with a German license show Jessica Pegula as the clear favorite against Barbora Krejcikova, while we expect a 50:50 match, it would also be conceivable to use the unbalanced odds to place a handicap bet on the Czech player.
The most effective approach here would be to place a positive handicap of +4.5 games on Barbora Krejcikova, who is, after all, a two-time Grand Slam winner (French Open 2021 and Wimbledon 2024). This bet, which can be placed at VBET at odds of 1.65, could also pay off in certain scenarios in a three-set match, thus only ruling out clear victories for Pegula.
Jessica Pegula – Barbora Krejcikova Head-to-head record
Head to head: 1:2
The two players have faced each other three times in a ranked singles match on the WTA Tour so far. After Jessica Pegula won the first encounter 2-0 in the round of 16 at the 2023 Australian Open, Barbora Krejcikova prevailed in the last two matches. Most recently, the two players met in the round robin of the 2024 WTA Finals in Riyadh, where the Czech recorded a straight 2-0 victory over the American (6-3, 6-3).
Jessica Pegula – Barbora Krejcikova Tip
For our taste, the betting odds for Jessica Pegula against Barbora Krejcikova are leaning a little too heavily toward last year’s finalist, whose quarterfinal victory against the two-time Grand Slam winner from the Czech Republic is currently rated at just 1.43 in the Interwetten app. Of course, that doesn’t promise any value. Especially when you consider that the last two meetings both went to the 29-year-old player from Brno, who has slipped to 62nd in the WTA world rankings solely due to a back injury.
Admittedly, however, the local hero has swept through the tournament in impressive fashion with four clean 2-0 victories, which is why we would be reluctant to rule out her 2-0 victory over the Czech. By predicting that Jessica Pegula vs. Barbora Krejcikova will be decided in under 2.5 sets, we are not ruling out victory for either player, which is why we see this as the best approach. After all, only one of the three meetings between the two athletes went the full distance. For under 2.5 sets, Bet365 offers odds of 1.54, which we are betting on with five units.
