Will the Williams conqueror achieve the triple?
In the last two years, Karolina Muchova, who knocked out the legendary Venus Williams 2-1 in the first round of the 2025 US Open, has always reached the semifinals of the New York hard court Grand Slam. If Karolina Muchova’s tip for the Czech’s next victory against Naomi Osaka proves correct, she will have achieved the triple, so to speak. However, she now faces a player who has already won the US Open trophy twice, in 2018 and 2020, and who, after several difficult years, is finally playing well again at Flushing Meadows.
The Japanese player also has a score to settle with the Czech. Although Naomi Osaka won their last encounter at the 2025 Australian Open 2-1, Karolina Muchova beat the four-time Grand Slam winner 2-0 in the second round of the 2024 US Open a year ago. In fact, in all four meetings, the Czech has always won at least one set against Naomi Osaka, which is why we see the greatest value in the Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka prediction that this will also be the case this time.
Overall, we also see the Czech player as having a slight advantage, although Naomi Osaka finally showed once again at this year’s hard court Grand Slam in New York City that she can not only beat the big names, but even dominate them. The 27-year-old defeated Coco Gauff (WTA 3) 2-0 in the round of 16, shining above all with her serve: 94 percent of points won with her first serve and 77 percent with her second. She didn’t allow a single break point against her, let alone give up a service game – and that against an opponent who won the French Open just a few months ago.
Karolina Muchova – Naomi Osaka Head-to-head record
Head to head: 2:2
The two players have been drawn against each other five times, although the third-round match at the Miami Open did not take place due to an injury to the Czech player. After four matches, the head-to-head record stands at 2:2. Karolina Muchova beat Naomi Osaka 2:0 (6:3, 7:6) at the US Open a year ago. The Japanese player took revenge at the 2025 Australian Open, defeating the Czech 2:1 (1:6, 6:1 and 6:3).
Karolina Muchova – Naomi Osaka Tip
Basically, the odds for Karolina Muchova against Naomi Osaka are slightly in favor of the Czech, although the sheer dominance that the four-time Grand Slam winner from Japan displayed in the round of 16 against this year’s French Open winner Coco Gauff was certainly impressive. If the 27-year-old brings such a stable serve to the court against the Czech, it will certainly be difficult for Karolina Muchova to reach the US Open semi-finals for the third time in a row.
However, it should not be forgotten that Naomi Osaka has by no means been consistent since her break. Dominant performances such as in the round of 16 have always alternated with lackluster performances over the past two years, which is why it ultimately makes the most sense to bet on Karolina Muchova winning at least one set.
For this, Karolina Muchova vs. Naomi Osaka betting odds of 1.70 are available in the Interwetten app, which we are betting on with five out of ten units.
