Will Keys also have to fear Siegemund?

Laura Siegemund had to wait until she was 37 before reaching the third round at Wimbledon for the first time in her sixth attempt in the main draw. Thanks to a surprisingly smooth victory in the second round, the last German remaining in the tournament can now test herself against a Grand Slam winner on the hallowed turf. Madison Keys took the crown at the Australian Open at the beginning of the year and, as a top ten player, is also one of the favorites at Wimbledon. Once again, there is little reason to bet on the experienced underdog between Siegemund and Keys.

However, Laura Siegemund was already considered a clear underdog against Leylah Fernandez and was not even remotely impressed. With a very varied game, lots of net attacks and mental strength at important moments, the native of Swabia achieved one of the biggest coups of her long career. On Friday, however, a completely different caliber awaits the doubles specialist, who is brimming with confidence. Whether that will ultimately be enough to justify a prediction of a set win for the German in the third-round duel between Siegemund and Keys remains to be seen.

Laura Siegemund – Statistics & current form

By the start of the Wimbledon tournament, Laura Siegemund had celebrated just ten singles victories all season. Half of these successes were also in qualifying rounds. She had not made it past the third round in a single tournament. Unsurprisingly, the 37-year-old was not expected to achieve much at the tennis classic.

Siegemund plays her way into a frenzy

But as we all know, the unexpected often happens, and thanks to two very confident two-set victories against Peyton Stearns and Leylah Fernandez, Siegemund is suddenly in the third round of the third Grand Slam tournament of the year. In total, Siegemund, who was born in Filderstadt and is currently not ranked in the top 100 (104th), has only dropped eleven games.

Although the 5’6″ doubles specialist has rarely stood out for her powerful groundstrokes in her career, it seems that this year’s rather slow conditions on the hallowed turf of the All England Tennis Club are really suiting her. A good slice, lots of net attacks and great defensive mobility are the hallmarks of Siegemund’s game. Thanks to her mental strength and enormous versatility, she is an uncomfortable opponent who now has four wins in six matches on grass this calendar year.

However, the three-time Grand Slam winner (in doubles/mixed) will not have nearly as much time to make decisions from the baseline against the powerful American. In my opinion, it is therefore not out of the question that the third-round debutante will be overwhelmed by her opponent on Friday. Based on this assessment, the prediction between Siegemund and Keys is that the 2025 AO winner will triumph by at least five games in the end. VBET is offering odds of 1.51 for this. Until July 13.

Madison Keys – Statistics & current form

For a long time, Madison Keys was considered a talented but unfinished player on the WTA circuit. However, she successfully shed this reputation in January of this year. Thanks to a great tournament Down Under, the now 30-year-old secured the title at the Australian Open and will remain a Grand Slam winner for life.

Madison Keys is slowly finding her groove on grass

Overall, the season has been very good for the right-handed player from Illinois. Keys has celebrated 32 victories in 41 matches. She even celebrated 16 wins in a row at one point. In the short grass season, she has four wins and two losses.

The current world number eight did not have a smooth ride in the first two rounds either. Keys even lost the first set in a tie-break against Elena Gabriela Ruse in the first round, but fought back successfully and won in three sets. For risk-taking betting fans, this could be an opportunity to bet on a tiebreak in the first set on Friday. Bwin is offering impressive odds of 6.80 for a corresponding bet on Siegemund vs. Keys.

Madison Keys is a player who, on her good days, can dominate any opponent on the tour. On bad days, however, she can lose to almost any opponent. All in all, though, the grass court plays into the American’s hands. Keys has a strong first serve, which she uses to score many free points. From the baseline, she can accelerate quickly with her forehand and take control of the rallies. It will be important to make as few unforced errors as possible and not give the German mental master any opportunities to attack.

Laura Siegemund – Madison Keys Head-to-head record / H2H record

The head-to-head record between the two women should be treated with caution and has no real bearing on the Siegemund vs. Keys betting odds for the third round at Wimbledon. Although the statistics show two meetings between the two, both were almost ten years ago. Each player has won once. However, the only match on grass went to the American in two very straight sets, who should also have the upper hand in London on Friday under normal circumstances.

Laura Siegemund – Madison Keys Tip

The Wimbledon tournament is already a huge success for Laura Siegemund. After failing to make it past the second round in her first five attempts on the hallowed turf in England’s capital, the 37-year-old is now looking forward to her third-round match against a Grand Slam winner after two wins against Stearns and Fernandez. On paper, Madison Keys is the clear favorite, thanks to the huge gap in the world rankings (104 vs. 8) and her record so far this season. The American has won 32 of her 41 singles matches, while Siegemund has a significantly negative record.

Although Siegemund has many qualities that allow her to dream of an upset, I expect Keys to control the rallies with her powerful shots. The 30-year-old should be much less vulnerable on her own serve than her seven-year-older opponent, who relies more on her net play and flexibility. I therefore expect a fairly one-sided affair and, ahead of the Siegemund vs. Keys match, I’m going for a 2-0 set victory for the American. The top odds of 1.47 are worth a stake of seven units to me.