What level is Medvedev playing at?
In our Learner Tien vs. Daniil Medvedev tip, we compare a left-hander on the rise with a former world number one who is striving to further improve his form. Despite ongoing fluctuations in form, betting on a “Medvedev win” would require an odds boost today to generate an acceptable profit.
In Shanghai, the air is hot, the humidity is high, and the climate is unpleasant for every professional. Even top players and defending champions cannot prevent cramps. However, the tournament is now entering its decisive phase, and we are looking at a Learner Tien vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction.
Medvedev has had no shortage of challenges and difficult situations this calendar year. The 29-year-old won only one Grand Slam match, and that was after five sets at the Australian Open against Kasidit Samrej (then ranked outside the top 400).
The Russian tennis pro recently took action, parting ways with his coach Gilles Cervara and beginning a small turnaround in Asia. However, the former world number one had to retire from his semifinal in Beijing against his upcoming opponent Learner Tien, completely exhausted in the third set. Nevertheless, the Grand Slam champion is the clear favorite in the Learner Tien – Daniil Medvedev odds.
The Asian swing is bringing Learner Tien even greater joy, albeit with a slight downside. In Beijing, the 19-year-old reached his first ATP final, but lost to Jannik Sinner in the final. Nevertheless, this has brought the American closer to the top 30 (36th).
Learner Tien – Daniil Medvedev Head-to-head record / H2H record
After their next encounter, the 2025 calendar year could be even more closely linked to Learner Tien than it already is for Daniil Medvedev. At the start of the season, the Russian suffered his first defeat in a head-to-head match and was knocked out of the Australian Open in the second round after five hard-fought sets, losing 2-3 to the young American. It was to be the start of an unpleasant season.
Most recently, the two players faced each other for a second time on the ATP Tour. Medvedev gave up against Tien in the semifinals in Beijing with the score at 7-5, 5-7, 0-4, having no energy reserves left, and thus lost his second head-to-head match against the 19-year-old.
Learner Tien – Daniil Medvedev Tip
Medvedev has now slipped to 18th place in the ATP world rankings. Exactly 18 places behind him is Learner Tien. The left-hander is having a furious season. Only Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have won more matches against top 10 players than the 19-year-old this calendar year (5-3 record vs. top 10 players).
In addition, Tien has shown tremendous resilience in his previous matches at the Rolex Shanghai Masters, coming back from a 0-1 set deficit against both Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) and Corentin Moutet (2-1). In the round of 32, he then scored a straight-sets 2-0 victory over Cameron Norrie.
Medvedev faces his third duel of the season with Learner Tien and his tenth pairing of the year with a left-hander. Since the beginning of the year, the 29-year-old has had a negative record against left-handers (4-5) and has shown great problems in these matchups.
In addition, the Russian has only reached two semifinals this season. Although he has shown a slightly positive trend since the 2025 US Open, this will not be enough to secure him a straight-forward victory against the American. We expect a close encounter with highlights on both sides.
