Will Sascha master this challenging task?
World number four Alexander Zverev had a bye in the first round of the Masters tournament in California, but now faces a very tough opponent. It is well known that Matteo Berrettini is better than his 66th place in the ATP world rankings suggests.
However, the Italian has been repeatedly set back by persistent injuries for years. Most recently, he missed the 2026 Australian Open again and played only six singles matches in 2026 in the run-up to the Indian Wells Masters. Against this backdrop, we recommend betting on a victory for Alexander Zverev against Matteo Berrettini.
Although the head-to-head record after seven matches shows three wins for the Italian, when both players faced each other on hard court, Alexander Zverev usually made short work of Matteo Berrettini. Sascha won both hard court matches 2-0. Considering that the Italian has always taken a long time to get back to top form after his injuries, we therefore find the greatest value in the Berrettini vs. Zverev prediction that the Hamburg native will defeat the former world number six 2-0.
Meanwhile, higher odds with a still good risk/reward ratio and probability of occurrence are offered by betting that no set in this second-round match will be decided in a tiebreak.
Matteo Berrettini – Alexander Zverev Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 3:4
The two players have crossed paths seven times, and with four wins, Alexander Zverev still has a narrow lead in the head-to-head comparison, although the last two duels went to Matteo Berrettini – albeit on grass and clay. When the two athletes faced each other on hard court, Alexander Zverev won both matches 2-0.
Matteo Berrettini – Alexander Zverev Tip
Although this pairing has always been very competitive in the past, our prediction for Matteo Berrettini vs. Alexander Zverev this time is a confident victory for the German. It is too unclear how far the Italian has come since his return to the ATP Tour. In top form, the former world number six is certainly a big threat to Sascha.
However, considering that he lost two matches in a row before Indian Wells against players such as Ignacio Buse (ATP 91) and Emilio Nava (ATP 79), who are far from the top 50 in the ATP world rankings, it would be a surprise for us if Matteo Berrettini were to play on equal terms with the current world number four throughout the entire match.
In our opinion, a clean 2-0 victory for Sascha is much more likely, who could then face seeded player Brandon Nakashima in the third round. For the German to win without losing a set, Bet-at-home is offering odds of 1.85 on Matteo Berrettini against Alexander Zverev, which we are betting on with four out of ten units.
