Will the defending champion give the record winner no chance?
In his twilight years, Novak Djokovic, who has won the Australian Open ten times and is the undisputed record winner of the hard court Grand Slam Down Under, is once again becoming an opportunist. After benefiting from a bye in the round of 16 because Jakub Mensik had to withdraw due to injury before the match began, he was already trailing 0-2 in the quarterfinals against Lorenzo Musetti before the Italian suffered a serious injury and Djokovic got his ticket to the semifinals. It would be a huge sensation if Novak Djokovic were to win against Jannik Sinner, as the 24-time Grand Slam winner now faces the defending champion, who has won all of his last 19 singles matches at the Australian Open.
It is significant that the paths of both athletes have already crossed twice in the semifinals of a Grand Slam tournament in the 2025 season. At both the French Open and the Wimbledon Championships, Jannik Sinner made short work of Djokovic, recording a clean 3-0 victory in each case. Although it would of course be nice from a sporting point of view to have a more open Australian Open semifinal, when placing bets, wishful thinking should not be the father of the thought. Given the South Tyrolean’s impressive form, a set win for the Serb would ultimately be a minor surprise, which is why we are betting on another straight 3-0 victory for the Sextner.
Most recently, in the semifinals of the Wimbledon Championships, Jannik Sinner conceded just ten games in total against the Serbian superstar, meaning that Djokovic was never in danger of a tiebreak. A very logical alternative to betting on a 3-0 victory for the world number two is therefore to bet that this Australian Open semifinal will also not see a tiebreak.
Novak Djokovic – Jannik Sinner Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Head to head: 4:6
The two players have crossed paths a total of ten times so far, with Jannik Sinner leading the head-to-head record with six wins. Not only did the South Tyrolean win the last five matches, but he also won the only two matches on hard court against Novak Djokovic, including the match in the semifinals of the 2024 Australian Open. Last season, Jannik Sinner ended the Serb’s run in the semifinals at both the 2025 French Open and Wimbledon 2025 with a clean 3-0 victory.
Novak Djokovic – Jannik Sinner Tip
The top bookmakers are offering betting odds of just 1.08 for Novak Djokovic to beat Jannik Sinner, with the Italian defending champion already the hot favorite in the run-up to the 2026 Australian Open. No wonder, as the South Tyrolean has won all of his last 19 singles matches at Melbourne Park, mostly without losing a set. Even during the tournament, only in the third round did the heat almost prove to be his undoing. This is not a problem he will have now, as the match against Djoker is scheduled for the night session.
Furthermore, it should be noted that, despite all his achievements in the sport, the Serbian perennial favorite has been very fortunate to advance to the semifinals this year. First, he received a bye in the round of 16, and then his opponent withdrew due to injury in the quarterfinals when Djokovic was already down 0-2 in sets. We therefore assume that the situation is now clear, which is why we are predicting that Novak Djokovic will beat Jannik Sinner 3-0 in the final.
