Nothing to be gained for the Styrian?

Sebastian Ofner, who has recently been hampered by injuries, has won his first singles match at the Wimbledon Championships since 2017. However, in his victory over Hamad Medjedovic, the Styrian benefited from the fact that his opponent had to throw in the towel after the intense first set due to injury, which is why the victory should not be overrated. If Sebastian Ofner’s tip for victory against Tommy Paul also proves correct, it would be a huge surprise.

Not only did the American, who started from 13th seed, not put a foot wrong in his 3-0 victory in the first round, but he also holds the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club in high regard. When predicting the outcome of Sebastian Ofner’s match against Tommy Paul, it must be taken into account that the man from New Jersey has never been eliminated before the third round at Wimbledon and has won ten of his 13 singles matches here – an impressive win rate of 76.9 percent.

Sebastian Ofner has not yet been able to prove that he is really fit enough for the Wimbledon Championships due to the short duration of his matches. In his last preparatory tournament in Mallorca, he had to retire in the first round of qualifying because of problems with his heel. This was certainly a preventive measure to avoid jeopardizing his participation at Wimbledon. Nevertheless, it remains unclear whether the Austrian has the physical strength to play three, four or even five sets in the London heat.

Sebastian Ofner – Statistics & current form

29-year-old Austrian Sebastian Ofner has slipped to 165th in the ATP world rankings following several injury-enforced breaks. Heel problems required two operations and meant that the man from Bruck an der Munz had to withdraw from his opening match at the 2025 Wimbledon Championships, his 13th singles match of the entire 2025 season.

Having been forced to throw in the towel just last week in Mallorca due to pain in his heel, he ironically came out on top this time because his opponent was injured. Whether the 29-year-old would have had the stamina to go the distance, which could have been up to five times as long, after winning the first set 10-8 in a tiebreak that lasted 56 minutes, remained unanswered due to Hamad Medjedovic’s early retirement after just 85 minutes.

Sebastian Ofner had no chance in his only singles match against Tommy Paul so far

In any case, it is clear that the tournament on the venerable London grass is a great opportunity for Sebastian Ofner to make up ground in the rankings, which is why it was a huge advantage that he won a singles match at Wimbledon for the first time since 2017 – regardless of how the victory came about. In the virtual rankings, his opening victory has already moved him up 19 places. Should he win again, the Styrian would move up another ten places.

However, the Austrian has lost his only previous match against the American 0-2, which is why he is still considered the clear underdog. At Winamax, where new customers can get a €10 free bet in addition to the usual 100% bonus with our exclusive Winamax promo code, the odds for Sebastian Ofner against Tommy Paul are 5.10 for the 29-year-old to win, who at least impressed on his own serve in the very short opening match. The Austrian remained unbroken and scored in 90 percent of all cases with his first serve and in 70 percent of all cases with his second – both are exceptional figures, although these were of course also due to his freshness and the very short duration of the match.

Tommy Paul – Statistics & current form

28-year-old American Tommy Paul really likes grass and also has a good connection to London. It was on this surface and in this city on the Thames that the man from New Jersey achieved the biggest success of his career to date when he won his first ATP Tour 500 tournament at London’s Queen’s Club just over a year ago. It was one of four singles titles on the ATP Tour in the career of the current world number 13.

Exactly one year ago, Tommy Paul stormed into the quarterfinals of the Wimbledon Championships, building on his previously strong performances at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. The American now has ten wins from 13 singles matches on the hallowed turf, giving him a win rate of 76.9 percent – the 28-year-old’s highest win rate at all four Grand Slam tournaments. He has not recorded such a high percentage of wins at any Masters tournament either.

Tommy Paul with a thoroughly convincing opening victory

Sebastian Ofner’s match against Tommy Paul is a similar story, with the number 13 seed likely to have no trouble against his opponent, who has slipped to 165th in the rankings and may still be carrying an injury. Unlike the Styrian, the player from New Jersey played really well in his opening match.

Tommy Paul was on court for just 105 minutes against British local hero Johannus Monday (ATP 224) before sealing a clean 3-0 victory (6-4, 6-4, 6-2), with no set lasting longer than 37 minutes, let alone being decided in a tiebreak. This was made possible by the American not dropping a single service game, while converting four of six break points. A first-serve points won percentage of 87% and a second-serve points won percentage of 65% over the three sets did the rest.

Sebastian Ofner – Tommy Paul Head-to-head record / H2H record

Head to head: 0:1

In the fall of 2023, the paths of both players crossed at the Shanghai Rolex Masters. On the fast indoor hard court, Tommy Paul didn’t give the Styrian a chance, beating Sebastian Ofner very cleanly 2-0 (6-3, 6-0).

Sebastian Ofner – Tommy Paul Tip

Our prediction for Sebastian Ofner’s match against Tommy Paul is very clear: we believe the American will advance, having won ten of his 13 singles matches at Wimbledon and flexed his muscles in his opening match. His Austrian challenger, on the other hand, benefited from an injury to his opponent and was unable to prove that he was physically at full strength in the short match. There are also doubts about this due to his early withdrawal from the Mallorca Championships last week, when his heel once again caused him problems.

If the Austrian is handicapped, it should be all the easier for Tommy Paul to secure another smooth 3-0 victory, especially as the man from New Jersey is the more experienced player on grass and has never been knocked out of Wimbledon before the third round.

We therefore recommend betting on the American to defeat the Styrian 3-0, for which Sebastian Ofner vs. Tommy Paul betting odds of 2.30 are available at Interwetten, which we are backing with three out of ten units.