At what level is Alcaraz serving?
Year after year, history is made on the hallowed turf of Wimbledon. Many top players have left the third Grand Slam of the year early. Nevertheless, in the Fritz vs. Alcaraz tip, you will find two players whose participation in the semifinals is no real surprise.
The form of both top-5 players makes us dream of a real thriller in the Fritz vs. Alcaraz prediction that will captivate the audience. We agree with the Fritz – Alcaraz betting odds regarding the world number two’s role as favorite, but we don’t think the American is without a chance at the All England Club.
Taylor Fritz – Statistics & current form
Fritz has survived a dramatic start in London. First, the American came back from 0-2 down to win 3-2 against the powerful server Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, then the 27-year-old also outplayed Gabriel Diallo in five sets (3-2).
The world number five emerged stronger from these successful encounters and won his subsequent matches in convincing fashion. A 3-1 victory over Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina was followed by a 2-0 win over Jordan Thompson, who had to retire due to injury. Fritz secured his place in his second Grand Slam semi-final in just one year thanks to his outstanding performance against Karen Khachanov (3:1).
These are brilliant results in their own right, but they have hardly given the American any advantage in the Fritz-Alcaraz odds. After all, the duel against the two-time defending champion is probably the biggest hurdle in the entire draw.
Fritz is developing into a grass court specialist
Alongside seven-time Wimbledon champion Novak Djokovic, Fritz is the only active tennis pro to have won at least five tournaments on grass. The American has won exactly half of his trophies on the green surface – two of them this season.
This season, there is no player on the tour with more wins on grass than Fritz (13). His current winning streak of nine matches may not match the Spaniard’s gigantic form (23 wins in a row), but it is an indication of his equally phenomenal condition.
Only Alcaraz (122) and Djokovic (121) won more “1st serve receiving points” than Fritz (114) during the tournament. In addition, the 27-year-old won the highest percentage of points after his first serve (82 percent) among the four semi-finalists.
Carlos Alcaraz – Statistics & current form
As was the case during his triumphant run at Queen’s Club in London, “Carlitos” has saved his best tennis for the later rounds. The five-time Grand Slam champion has stabilized his serve throughout the tournament and served superbly in his latest match against Cameron Norrie (3-0).
The 22-year-old won his round of 16 match against the local hero in 100 minutes. The Spaniard put 72 percent of his first serves in play and won 89 percent of those points. The two-time Wimbledon winner thus extended his portfolio to 19 consecutive Wimbledon matches won.
The Spaniard is a true phenomenon and improved his record at the four Grand Slam tournaments to 76 wins from 88 matches. That corresponds to an incredible win rate of 86.4 percent. We expect five sets, but see Alcaraz as the favorite to reach the final.
How many breaks will Alcaraz get against Fritz?
If Fritz continues his form from the grass court season so far, he will be able to force the defending champion into a long match. Over the past 52 weeks, Fritz has compiled the fourth-best service rating on grass (312.0) and won 92.6 percent of his service games.
Regardless of the surface, Alcaraz has the best return game winning percentage (31.1 percent). We can expect some highly exciting service games on both sides, as Fritz has also been impressive on his return in his Wimbledon matches so far.
Alcaraz could cause problems for the American, especially if he changes the rhythm of the rallies with his elegant drop shots and continues to attack the net. Fritz is still reluctant to move to the net and sometimes even has to force himself to do so.
Taylor Fritz – Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
Alcaraz won the two previous encounters between the two top-5 players without dropping a set. The first match on grass will now take place at the All England Club.
Taylor Fritz – Carlos Alcaraz Tip
We are looking forward to the semi-finals and expect a hard-fought and lengthy match between Fritz and Alcaraz, in which both players will be able to show their strengths. Although the defending champion is in better overall form, Fritz has already demonstrated his competitive mentality several times in this tournament.
The American will not leave the court without winning a set. If Alcaraz does not play at his limit throughout, Fritz could even win two sets. However, we find it difficult to imagine a defeat for the two-time Wimbledon winner. We recommend a Fritz vs. Alcaraz tip on “There will be 5 sets played.”