Who will secure a Champions League spot?

On the 36th matchday of the Premier League, Newcastle United will face Chelsea FC at St. James’ Park. Both teams are currently tied on 63 points in fourth and fifth place and also have the same goal difference of +21. While Newcastle could only manage a draw against Brighton in their last game, the Blues beat this year’s Premier League winners Liverpool 3-1.

Newcastle are currently in good form, but have failed to win their last two away games. Fortunately for the Magpies, this game is another home game, as they have won their last five PL games in front of their home crowd. In those five home games, they scored an impressive 18 goals. As the last encounter between the Blues and Newcastle in the League Cup also went to Newcastle, we are predicting another victory for the Magpies in our Newcastle vs. Chelsea tip.

Chelsea have been particularly vulnerable away from home this season, but they have won their last three league games and are currently unbeaten in six PL games. Away from home, however, they have won only one of their last nine PL games, losing five times. They did enjoy some success during the week, however, as they secured their place in the UEFA Conference League final with another victory against Djurgardens IF.

Newcastle – Statistics & current form

Newcastle United are currently enjoying one of their best spells of the Premier League season. In their last 20 league games, Eddie Howe’s team has picked up 43 points (14 wins, one draw, five defeats) – only Liverpool (46) has been more successful during this period. Newcastle last achieved such a points tally in a 20-game run between September 21, 2002, and January 29, 2003 (44 points).

The record against Chelsea is also positive: seven of the last eleven Premier League home games against the Blues have been won (one draw, three defeats). According to our Newcastle vs. Chelsea tip, another victory will be added to that, meaning that coach Eddie Howe will have celebrated three out of four home games against the Londoners – the fourth duel ended in a draw, by the way. Howe has now won seven of his 20 games against Chelsea as a coach – remarkably, each of these victories came against a different Chelsea coach: Mourinho, Conte, Sarri, Lampard, Potter, Pochettino and finally Maresca.

Newcastle with historic opportunity

Newcastle also beat Chelsea 2-0 in the EFL Cup this season. Should they win again, it would be their first double victory against the Blues in a single season since 1986/87 – and their first in two different competitions since 1931/32. The odds for a Newcastle home win against Chelsea are 2.12 at Betano. If you are not yet registered with this bookmaker, you can currently claim a 100% bonus up to $80 as well as an exclusive $20 free bet with the Betano new customer bonus.

Alexander Isak is the outstanding player in attack: since December, he has scored 19 Premier League goals, 15 of which were not penalties – both league highs. With 23 goal contributions, he is second in the league behind Mohamed Salah. Another goal against Chelsea would be his fourth in a row against the Blues. In our Newcastle vs. Chelsea prediction, we also expect another goal from the Swede.

Chelsea – Statistics & current form

After a mixed start to the year, Chelsea have recently shown an upward trend: The Blues have won three Premier League games in a row – their best run since five wins between November and December.

Maresca’s side were particularly impressive in their recent game against Liverpool: with an expected goals value of 3.13 (2.35 without penalties), they recorded the highest xG value of any opponent against Liverpool this season. Overall, Chelsea are second behind Liverpool (2.0) in terms of average non-penalty xG with 1.8 – proof of their improvements in attack.

Enzo Fernández as the Blues’ key player

Individually, Enzo Fernández stands out: no Chelsea player has been involved in more Premier League goals in 2025 than him, with six (three goals, three assists). He has scored or assisted in each of his last three league games, which is why the powerful Magpies midfield will be particularly challenged. In addition, the Argentine is second in the league in open-play chances (34) since the start of the year (behind Salah, 45) and tied for third in ball recoveries in the final third (15).

Historically, Chelsea has a good overall record against Newcastle, with 31 Premier League wins – only Tottenham and West Ham have won more. Betting providers with Klarna are offering odds of around 3.10 for a Blues victory in the Newcastle vs. Chelsea match.

Newcastle – Chelsea Head-to-head / H2H record

In a direct comparison between Newcastle United and Chelsea FC, the two teams have faced each other 155 times in competitive matches, including 145 games in the Premier League, four encounters in the FA Cup and six matches in the League Cup. The record clearly favors the visitors: Chelsea have won 68 games, while Newcastle have recorded 50 victories. In addition, the two teams have drawn 37 times.

Chelsea also has the edge when it comes to goals: The Londoners have scored a total of 229 goals, while Newcastle has scored 193 goals – that’s 2.7 goals per game. For over 2.5 goals in the game, you can find odds of 1.52 for Newcastle against Chelsea at AdmiralBet.

Newcastle – Chelsea tip

Newcastle have won seven of their last eleven PL home games against the Blues and are the second-best team in the league behind Liverpool in their last 20 league games. They are currently on a run of five consecutive PL home wins. That’s why we’re going for a Magpies win at odds of 2.12 at Vbet and are putting six units on it. Newcastle’s home games are also particularly high-scoring: in their last eleven home games, they have averaged 4.3 goals per game.

Alexander Isak is also in particularly good form at the moment: he has scored 19 Premier League goals since December. He has also scored three times in a row against the Blues, and another goal would be his fourth in a row. The bookmakers are offering odds of 2.14 for another goal from the Swede in Newcastle vs. Chelsea.