Will PSG lose their second away game in a row?
A 1-1 draw on matchday three away to Rayo Vallecano is the Blaugrana’s only loss of points in competitive action this season until the Barcelona vs. PSG tip. Hansi Flick’s criticism of the attitude of some players has had an effect, and the Catalans have since racked up five wins in a row.
From a neutral spectator’s point of view, the injuries on both sides ahead of the Barcelona vs. PSG prediction are annoying. The defending champions have been hit much harder and will definitely be without Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue at the Estadi Olimpic Llui Companys.
The majority of PSG’s offense is therefore at least questionable for the upcoming top match against the reigning Spanish champions. Last weekend, “Les Parisiens” won 2-0 against Auxerre in their own stadium. However, this required two goals from two center backs in a row following a short corner.
Both teams have made a successful start to the current Champions League season. Barca won 2-1 away at Newcastle, while PSG secured a comfortable 4-0 home win against Atalanta Bergamo. Nevertheless, the Barcelona vs. PSG betting odds show the Catalans as clear favorites in their home game.
Barcelona vs. PSG AI prediction
The two top European clubs last met in the quarterfinals of the Champions League in 2024. At that time, the club from the French capital prevailed in two high-scoring games (4-1, 2-3) and advanced to the semifinals. The Barcelona vs. PSG prediction by artificial intelligence sticks to these entertaining encounters and recommends betting on “over 3.5 goals” in the game.
Barcelona – Statistics & current form
Lamine Yamal’s exceptional talent shone through last weekend, and not for the first time. Just 30 seconds after coming on as a substitute, the 18-year-old got the ball on the right wing. A quick dribble was enough to create space for a perfect cross. He found Robert Lewandowski, who headed home to make it 2-1 against Real Sociedad.
After this successful comeback, nothing should stand in the way of the Spanish winger starting in the top match against the defending champions. The Catalans are excelling in attack, similar to last season, and have scored an average of 2.9 goals in eight competitive games this season (23 in total).
The home games have gone best so far. First, Valencia suffered a 6-0 defeat, then Barca’s offense took on Getafe (3-0) before securing a 2-1 home win against Real Sociedad last weekend. At the national level, the hosts once again have the best offense (21 goals) and expected offense (16.15 xG).
No mercy in the Champions League
Since the start of last season, Barca have scored 45 goals in Europe’s strongest competition. The Blaugrana needed only 15 games to achieve this. Flick’s team have particularly enjoyed their performances at home. Barca have scored three or more goals in six of their seven CL home games since the start of last season.
In addition, the Spanish champions have won nine of their previous twelve Champions League home games and have not suffered more than one defeat during this period. Under Hansi Flick, the hosts are still unbeaten in their own stadium at Champions League level (5W, 2D), which has a positive effect on the Barcelona vs. PSG odds.
There was a small setback last weekend. Joan Garcia injured his meniscus and, like Marc-Andre ter Stegen, will be out of action. This means that Wojciech Szczesny is likely to return to goal.
PSG – Statistics & current form
Like Barca (7W, 1D), PSG has won seven of eight possible games this season. Unlike FC Barcelona, however, Les Parisiens are no longer undefeated. The French capital club lost its penultimate competitive game to title rivals Marseille (0-1).
Visiting the Orange Velodrome, Luis Enrique’s team only created scoring chances worth 0.61 expected goals. The absence of Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue was clearly noticeable. Last year’s Champions League winners’ offense did not perform significantly better in their dress rehearsal against Auxerre.
PSG won 2-0 with two corner goals and scored just over one expected goal from open play. In contrast, the French side’s defense has been remarkably well organized recently. PSG has won three of its last four competitive games without conceding a goal.
Memories don’t help
With a top squad, the defending champions are undoubtedly among the favorites to win the trophy again. However, the current personnel situation is tricky and a victory in the away game against a strong FC Barcelona is rather unlikely. Away games have not always gone well.
However, positive memories prevail. PSG won the two previous away games in Barcelona 4-1 each time. However, Hansi Flick’s Barcelona is hardly anything like the Barca of 17 months ago. In addition, Luis Enrique has lost six of 14 Champions League away games as PSG coach.
The visitors will probably try to impose a low-scoring game on the Catalans and turn the game on its head with individual moments. PSG should be full of confidence after their last two performances in the Champions League (5-0 win vs. Inter Milan, 4-0 win vs. Atalanta Bergamo).
Barcelona – PSG Head-to-head record
Recently, the balance in this head-to-head rivalry has shifted somewhat. Les Parisiens have lost only two of their last six meetings with the Blaugrana (3W, 1D). Overall, the two teams are facing each other for the 16th time in European competition. Barca still has a slight edge with six wins (4D, 5L).
Barcelona – PSG Tip
Once this matchup turns into an open slugfest, the in-form Barcelona should be able to outclass the injury-plagued defending champions at this stage of the season and pull away. Barca has won its last five competitive games in a row (16-3 goals), which has also influenced the Barcelona vs. PSG betting odds.
Lamine Yamal has returned from his ankle injury in time for the top match against the French capital club and will be able to generate a clear advantage for the home side with his dribbling on the wing and his good decision-making.
Under Hansi Flick, Barca has won five of seven Champions League home games and scored an average of 3.4 goals per game. This attacking power currently sets the Catalans apart from PSG. In addition, the defensive processes are working a little better this season than last year, making the home side less vulnerable at the back.
