Will Getafe pick up crucial points in the race for Europe?
On Monday, UD Levante and Getafe CF will wrap up Matchday 31 of Spain’s top flight. At first glance, the roles seem clearly defined, as while the visiting team is still fighting for a spot in the Europa League, the home side is in the midst of a relegation battle.
At first glance, the Levante vs. Getafe tip would seem to favor a win for the away team. However, looking at the betting odds, the bookmakers appear to be expecting a home win. The highest odds for a home win are 2.75 (Betano) – for an away win, they are 2.88 (bet365).
In our Levante vs. Getafe prediction, we’ll now look for possible reasons and examine both teams a bit more closely. We’ll start with the home and away records of the two teams and arrive at a somewhat surprising conclusion.
Home advantage doesn’t seem to play a role in this matchup, as the home team sits in last place in the home standings with just 14 points from 15 home games. Furthermore, the visitors are in fifth place in the away table, making them one of the strongest away teams in La Liga. However, with seven losses in 15 matches, this advantage isn’t quite as significant as the table might suggest.
But there’s another reason why the Levante vs. Getafe odds should favor a win for the visitors: Jose Bordalas’s team is also superior in terms of form. Getafe has won six (!) of their last eight games—and that’s only thanks to two red cards. Additionally, the visiting team has secured victories against Real Betis and even Real Madrid. Luis Castro’s team cannot keep up with that, despite improving form. Eight points from the last five games is good, but looking at the past nine games, the total remains the same. We would therefore not yet speak of a comeback in the relegation battle at this point.
Levante – Getafe Head-to-Head Record
In the first three sections of our analysis, not only the standings but also form and the away record point to a home win. However, the fundamental balance of power remains unchanged, as with 17 wins for UDL and 14 wins for FCG, the head-to-head record could hardly be more evenly matched.
Although the visitors have gone three matches without a win against the “Frogs,” their only loss during that stretch was a 2-3 defeat on January 3, 2023, in the Copa del Rey. Of course, a lot has happened in the three years since then, so the distribution of the Levante vs. Getafe betting odds should hardly depend on that.
Levante – Getafe Tip
We recommend betting on a H2H win for the visiting team in the Levante vs. Getafe match. FCG is having a significantly better season, has earned more points on the road than UDL has at home, and is also in much better form. Furthermore, Jose Bordalas’s team has lost only one of their last five competitive matches.
However, that defeat was over three years ago and therefore doesn’t really carry much weight. Since a draw cannot be entirely ruled out, we’ve opted for a Draw-No-Bet wager—meaning you’ll get your stake back in the event of a tie.
