Will Roma Hold Onto the Top Spot?
Gian Piero Gasperini has done it again. The 68-year-old joined Roma ahead of last season. Prior to that, he had transformed Atalanta Bergamo into a top Serie A club, even winning the Europa League. After a little more than one season with the Giallorossi, a similar transformation appears to be underway. In any case, we don’t see any stumbling blocks in our Torino FC vs. AS Roma prediction.
Currently, the visitors lead the Serie A standings. According to our Torino FC vs. AS Roma forecast, Gasperini’s squad will remain in first place after the upcoming matchday.
Our doubts about whether the winning streak in Italy’s top flight will continue are limited, given the Torino FC vs. AS Roma betting odds. We draw our confidence from the data from the first few matchdays. League-wide, the club from the Italian capital has the highest expected goals (9.3 xG).
The league leader combines the highest volume of shots on goal (26) with formidable shot quality, averaging 0.13 xG per shot. Of particular interest for our betting strategy are the statistics on the opposing side. Although the Bulls took relatively few shots on goal (9), their attempts consistently found their way into dangerous areas (0.13 xG per shot).
For further analysis, we’ll look at the results so far. The Granata started their league campaign with two 1-2 losses against AC Milan and Sassuolo. Last weekend, they secured their first win—a 2-1 victory over the bottom-of-the-table team from Florence. Just like the home team’s first three league matches, the Roma game in domestic competition also consistently featured over 2.5 goals.
Following their two 4-0 wins against Florence and Lecce, Gasperini and his team defeated the 68-year-old coach’s former employer. Atalanta was defeated 2-1. This coming weekend, both clubs will continue their streaks of matches featuring at least three goals.
Turin FC – AS Roma Head-to-Head Record
Somewhat surprisingly, the Turin side emerged victorious in two of the three previous meetings (1–0, 3–2). The last matchup took place on Matchday 21 of the previous season—this time, Roma ended their mini-losing streak and snatched three points from the Olimpico Grande Torino (2–0). Personally, Gian Piero Gasperini has a positive record against the Bulls.
On average, he has earned 1.61 points with his clubs against the Granatrots, winning 15 of a total of 36 matchups, drawing 13 times, and losing only eight head-to-head matches.
If the visitors stick to their current style of play and perform at the same level as in their previous games this season, another victory for the 68-year-old is a realistic possibility.
Turin FC – AS Roma Prediction
Roma plays fast and directly forward, constantly disrupts the opponent’s build-up play, and imposes its own style on opposing teams. No other club in Italian top-flight soccer has more direct attacks than the league leader (13). Two of these attempts were also successful (1st).
This fast-paced style is combined with numerous high-pressure ball recoveries. Thirty-six ball recoveries in the attacking third (a league-high) led to twelve shots on goal (also a Serie A high) and one goal so far.
While Gasperini’s squad allows only 9.3 passes per defensive action (3rd), Ignazio Abate’s team takes a different approach on the other end of the field. Turin FC tends to give more space to the opponent’s build-up play (15.9 PPDA) and primarily relies on controlled attacks (1.42 m/s direct speed). This results in fewer shots on goal—but they are just as dangerous.
