Will the Giants continue their surprise run?
Things are going to get wild on Thursday night in our New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders pick. At least, if we go by their first matchup a month ago, where neither team seemed eager to win. The Commanders even let the clock run out without attempting a field goal—albeit unintentionally.
But that sequence already showed that neither team belongs among the NFL’s elite, and the Giants are currently leading the NFC East only because the other teams in the division (Cowboys, Eagles) have been performing very disappointingly.
But who will win Thursday’s game? Since that strange ending last month, the Giants have shown slightly better form and are coming off two wins. Therefore, for New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders, our prediction is a home win for the Giants, who would thereby defend their lead in the division.
The Thursday Night showdown kicks off at 2:15 a.m. on Friday morning in New York. As every Thursday, the game will be broadcast live on RTL, RTL+, Sky, and WOW.
The Giants as favorites in a game where J.J. McCarthy is starting at quarterback? That sounds unusual, but it’s actually the case this year. So, in the New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders matchup, the odds are actually more favorable for the team from the Big Apple—including, or especially, on Isaiah Likely, the team’s go-to tight end.
New York Giants – Washington Commanders Head-to-Head Record
We’ve already covered the matchup from October. Back then, both teams had their chances to win but squandered them, resulting in a rare tie in the NFL. We don’t expect that to happen on Thursday night, especially since the Giants have now won two straight, while the Commanders are coming off a loss to the Rams.
Furthermore, Washington is still winless on the road this season (0-3). Since both teams came off low-scoring games last weekend (Giants 30 total points, Commanders 33), we don’t expect an excessive number of points in this head-to-head matchup either.
New York Giants – Washington Commanders Pick
In addition to the trend, the statistics also favor the Giants: They gain more yards (7.7) and score more points (1.3) per game, while allowing fewer yards (40.9) and points (3.8) to their opponents. With home-field advantage, we see enough reasons to more than justify their -1.5 handicap.
Therefore, for New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders, a bet on New York -1.5 is our clear recommendation. We actually think the spread is set surprisingly tight, and we can go as high as -3.5 here, which drastically increases the value.
As for player bets, we’re keeping an eye on the Giants’ tight end. A TD bet on Likely is promising for two reasons. First, he’s already seen 70 targets this season, making him one of New York’s most sought-after players. Second, he’s already scored six touchdowns—including two against the Commanders just a month ago.
