A tough Monday night match in Tuscany?
While ACF Fiorentina has likely banished the specter of relegation from Tuscany for the time being—with a five-point lead over the first relegation spot after four consecutive Serie A matches without a loss—Lazio Rome is stuck in the dreary mid-table of Serie A in ninth place.
The Aquile (meaning “the Eagles”) are not exactly welcome guests, as whenever Maurizio Sarri’s side has played away, a tough match has been virtually guaranteed. In the Biancocelesti’s 15 Serie A away games, just 21 goals were scored (10-11), which is why a low-scoring game is the hot pick for Fiorentina vs. Lazio Rome.
On the one hand, the capital club boasts the best away defense in Italy’s top flight, having conceded just 11 goals on the road. On the other hand, no team has scored fewer goals on the road than the Aquile (just ten goals). Sarri’s brand of soccer, which can sometimes be tedious to watch from a neutral perspective, is likely to result in plenty of static and little action on Monday evening in Tuscany as well. We therefore recommend the Fiorentina vs. Lazio Rome prediction of under 2.5 goals. After all, the Gigliati (meaning “the Lilies”) have also conceded just two goals in their last four Serie A matches.
Although the Tuscan side, which had a first half of the season to forget, has clearly stabilized under Paolo Vanoli. However, in their comfort zone competition, the UEFA Conference League, the Viola suffered a significant setback on Thursday evening. Following the 0-3 loss at Crystal Palace, the journey for the two-time finalists and last year’s semifinalists is likely to end in the quarterfinals this year, before they are forced to sit out international competition next season.
It’s quite possible that this setback, combined with the rigors of travel, will result in virtually nothing happening against the highly destructive Biancocelesti, especially in the first half. Therefore, the prediction that the score will be tied at halftime is an interesting one.
Fiorentina – Lazio Rome Head-to-Head Record
Head-to-Head: 55 – 45 – 68
These two historic teams have faced each other 168 times, and with 68 wins, Lazio Rome leads the head-to-head record. However, the team from the capital has been waiting for another win against Fiorentina for three Serie A matches now; after three straight wins, Fiorentina could not manage more than a 2-2 draw in the first leg in the Eternal City.
Fiorentina – Lazio Rome Prediction
Both teams have remained unbeaten in their last four Serie A matches, but are far from the European qualification spots, meaning the season threatens to end in disappointment. This makes it correspondingly difficult to predict the outcome of the match between Fiorentina and Lazio Rome, especially since the Biancocelesti have delivered several lackluster performances, particularly on the road. While no team has conceded fewer goals on the road than the Aquile (just eleven), Sarri’s side also boasts the weakest away offense in Italy’s top flight, having scored only ten goals.
Fiorentina, who were thrashed 3-0 by Crystal Palace on Thursday night, have also conceded just two goals in total over the last four matchdays in Serie A. Both teams are solid defensively but have repeatedly lacked cutting edge in attack. Therefore, the bet on under 2.5 goals offers us good value.
