Will the hosts continue their home winning streak?
A quick opening move was all it took. Then Roko Brajkovic sprinted down the right flank, leaving his direct opponent in the dust. The pass followed, the dribble was successful, and the resulting shot found the far corner. This laid the foundation for success in the first round of Europa League qualifying. Next up is the Hajduk Split vs. Pafos tip.
A 20-euro no-deposit free bet takes the risk out of it and expands your range of playable betting odds. Our focus in this match is primarily on the number of goals scored.
But first, let’s get a clear picture using the Hajduk Split vs. Pafos betting odds. The calculated probability of a home win is approximately 45 percent—the home team’s form at their own stadium is consistently above average.
Under head coach Gonzalo Garcia, who has been at the helm of the Croatian runner-up since the start of last season, the Whites have won 15 of their 21 matches at their home stadium, Poljud. Their goal difference during this period is +19, and their average points per game is 2.24.
Furthermore, the visitors from Cyprus have had a rather sluggish preseason. The reigning Cypriot Cup champions have won only one of four matches—and also lost to Jagiellonia (0–1) and Slovan Bratislava (2–3). Defensive leader David Luiz and his teammates definitely need to step up their game.
As visitors to Croatia, however, the defense of the so-called “Light Brigade” will be under pressure. Since the start of last season, Hajduk Split has scored at least one goal in 90.5 percent of its home games. During this period, the Whites have finished two-thirds of their home games with two or more goals of their own.
Hajduk Split – Pafos Head-to-Head Record
Since the 2020–2021 season, Hajduk Split has consistently finished among the top three teams in the Croatian league standings. The Bili finished last season as runners-up. After a successful first round of Europa League qualifying, Garcia’s team now faces its first matchup against the Cypriot Cup champion.
In the previous five seasons, the hosts have consistently competed in the Conference League qualifiers. There, they were eliminated in the third round in each of the last three years. Things are expected to go better in the Europa League qualifiers, in which Hajduk Split last participated in 2020–2021. For the first match against Pafos, we estimate that the “Majstori s mora” have a relatively good chance of winning.
Hajduk Split – Pafos Prediction
The average goal difference in home games under Gonzalo Garcia is 1.85–0.95. As an alternative to our Hajduk Split vs. Pafos prediction, a bet on “Both Teams to Score – Yes” looks like a profitable option, as does “Over 2.5 Goals” in the match.
While the Whites have already played their first two competitive matches of the season in the first qualifying round, the visitors will kick off their 2026–2027 competitive season this Thursday. For head coach Ricardo Sa Pinto, this also marks his first full season at the helm of the club from southwestern Cyprus. The Portuguese coach only took over the position at the end of April this year.
The visiting team is playing its first competitive match in nearly two months and is carrying over some question marks from its preseason games. We see fewer of those with Hajduk Split. Overall, Garcia’s squad posted an expected goals total of 3.3 in its two matches against Zilina and looked solid in all phases of the game.
