Who will secure three points in the battle to avoid relegation?
At first glance, the visiting team appears to have a much better chance of winning. In the past, Paolo Vanoli’s team has been significantly more successful both domestically and internationally than Eusebio Di Francesco’s side. In the Conference League, La Viola even reached the final twice.
The Giallorossi, on the other hand, regularly bounce between Serie A and Serie B and thus play merely the role of a relegation candidate in Italy’s top flight.
This question is relatively easy to answer, because despite their relatively successful previous seasons, the visitors are suddenly fighting against relegation. Paolo Vanoli’s team has earned only 35 points from 32 Serie A matches and thus finds itself in 15th place.
The Purple-Whites remain the favorites, however, as the home team has managed to collect only 27 points. This is not unusual, however, as I Giallorossi have been bouncing back and forth between Serie A and Serie B for decades. In our Lecce vs. Fiorentina prediction, we’ll now take a close look at both teams and examine who actually has the better chances of winning in this relegation thriller.
We’ll start by looking at the home and away records of both clubs. However, this doesn’t yield a clear conclusion, as while the home team has managed only 16 points in 16 home games, the visitors have also secured just 17 points in 16 away games. So neither side is particularly strong at home or away in this matchup.
Nevertheless, there is still a reason why the Lecce vs. Fiorentina odds quite rightly favor a victory for the away team. In terms of form, Paolo Vanoli’s team is clearly superior, having suffered just one defeat in their last nine competitive matches. The hosts, on the other hand, have suffered six defeats in their last seven games alone.
Lecce – Fiorentina Head-to-Head Record
The first three sections of our analysis are quite one-sided, as the visitors not only have a better squad individually but are also in significantly better form. Furthermore, the so-called home advantage does not seem to play a role in this matchup.
With eleven wins, twelve draws, and 16 losses, the H2H record is still quite respectable from the home team’s perspective. That could also be one of the reasons why the Lecce vs. Fiorentina betting odds are fairly conservative. Fundamentally, however, nothing changes in terms of the balance of power, as two wins from the last eight matches isn’t really that good.
Lecce – Fiorentina Tip
Given the facts, we’ve opted for the Lecce vs. Fiorentina betting tip “Fiorentina wins a half.” Paolo Vanoli’s team is simply in incredible form, having won seven of their last nine competitive matches. Furthermore, the Purple-Whites have the significantly better squad and should therefore dominate the game from the start.
Added to this is the home team’s ongoing slump in form; with six losses in their last seven games, there has been little to cheer about recently. Alternatively, you can also add the Lecce vs. Fiorentina odds for over 1.5 away team goals to your betting slip. The home side has conceded 14 goals in their last seven games, averaging two goals per match. At the same time, the visitors have been quite clinical in recent matches and even scored twice against Crystal Palace during the week.
