Will VfB prove its home dominance?
A crucial breakthrough for Werder Bremen! With their victory in the northern derby against HSV, the Green-Whites have not only boosted their prestige but also given themselves some breathing room in the Bundesliga relegation battle. However, if the odds for a VfB Stuttgart vs. Werder Bremen prediction are anything to go by, the North Germans shouldn’t get their hopes up too high for points on the Neckar this coming Sunday.
After all, their upcoming opponent has proven to be a true home force this season. The Swabians have suffered only two defeats at the MHP Arena this season, and Hoeneß’s side has won a total of eleven home games (11-2-2). Given that this matchup pits a relegation candidate against a home-dominant Champions League contender, it comes as no surprise that bookmakers’ VfB Stuttgart vs. Werder Bremen predictions favor the home team.
We also expect the Red-Whites to secure a victory in this encounter. The Red-Whites already flexed their muscles against Werder in the 4-0 first-leg victory.
VfB Stuttgart vs. Werder Bremen AI Prediction
The VfB Stuttgart vs. Werder Bremen AI prediction estimates the probability of a home win to be significantly lower than the bookies.
The VfB Stuttgart vs. Werder Bremen AI prediction sets the xG value for the match at 3.01 and believes that Bremen, despite their weak offense, will also score a goal (Bremen’s xG value is 1.01).
VfB Stuttgart – Statistics & Current Form
VfB also failed to get the better of Bayern Munich on the last matchday. At the Allianz Arena, they suffered the expected defeat against the new German champions. Since rivals Leipzig and Hoffenheim both won their matches, Sebastian Hoeneß’s team is under pressure ahead of the upcoming home game against bottom-of-the-table Bremen.
Will VfB capitalize on their home strength?
Away from home, the Brustring-wearing team has often struggled this season. At home on the Neckar, however, the five-time German champions have been incredibly strong this season. Only Bayern and BVB have managed to take all three points in Bad Cannstatt. Especially on defense, Sebastian Hoeneß’s team has taken a significant step forward in home games this season.
While conceding goals at the MHP Arena was still the norm last season, Stuttgart has managed to keep a clean sheet in more than half of its home games this season (8).
Werder Bremen – Stats & Current Form
Thanks to last weekend’s victory, Werder Bremen has managed to pull five points clear of the relegation playoff spot. Nevertheless, the relegation race remains tight.
Will Bremen surprise in Bad Cannstatt?
However, just how wide the gap in quality is between the two teams this season was already impressively demonstrated in the first leg. The Swabians won that match 4-0 on the Weser. And despite the victory against the away-weak HSV in the last home game, the record under Daniel Thioune—who replaced the hapless Horst Steffen on the bench in February of this year—is by no means impressive.
Thioune has lost six of his ten league games with his new team, although things have gone better in recent weeks than at the start of his tenure. Nevertheless, another defeat in our VfB Stuttgart vs. Werder Bremen tip would come as no surprise. After all, Werder have been a welcome sight on the road this season; only four teams in the Bundesliga have earned fewer points away from home than Bremen (12 points).
The Thioune-led side continues to struggle tremendously, especially on offense. Away from home, Werder has failed to score a single goal in six matches this season. Those looking to take a bit more of a risk with their bet can therefore also venture a bet on a shutout victory for the Swabians, as in the first leg. After all, defensively, VfB has generally looked solid in their home league matches this season.
VfB Stuttgart – Werder Bremen Head-to-Head Record
The Bundesliga’s North-South Classic has been played a total of 117 times. The overall record is perfectly even. Each side has celebrated 41 wins, and the points were shared 35 times. In recent years, Bremen has also managed to upset the favored Swabians on occasion. In the last eight meetings, Bremen has beaten VfB three times, while VfB has won just as often (3-2-3).
Of the last three home games, Sebastian Hoeneß’s team has also won only one; the Green-Whites have prevailed twice at the Wasen. However, the team in the red-and-white stripes won the first leg in Bremen convincingly, 4-0. And for the return match, the VfB Stuttgart vs. Bremen betting odds also favor the Swabians in the end.
VfB Stuttgart – Werder Bremen Prediction
The outlook is very different for both teams ahead of this North-South showdown. While the hosts can still dream of Champions League qualification, the visitors from the Weser are still in danger of relegation. All the more so if Tip 1 comes through in the VfB Stuttgart vs. Werder Bremen match.
The only advantage for Daniel Thioune’s team is that the Swabians are still feeling the effects of their grueling cup match against SC Freiburg, while the visitors are well-rested heading into this match and have been able to fully prepare for it all week.
However, back-to-back matches haven’t been a disadvantage for VfB this season. Hoeneß’s squad has won most of its Sunday matches following a grueling back-to-back schedule, thanks in part to the head coach’s clever rotation.
That’s why we see little potential for an upset like last season, when Werder won 2-1 on the Neckar.
The team with the clearly stronger individual talent this season was already evident in the Baden-Württemberg side’s decisive rout in the first leg. Combined with the Red-Whites’ well-known home strength and key absences on the visitors’ side, we are therefore betting on another victory for the favorites this coming Sunday.
