Who will secure third place in La Liga?
On paper, this is a true top-of-the-table clash, as the home side currently sits in third place, while the visitors are tied on points in fourth. But it gets even more curious, as even the goal difference for both teams is identical (+22).
FCV is therefore ahead of the Madrid side (61) solely due to having scored more goals (61). However, the battle for third place isn’t really that exciting, as the final standings make little difference financially. Furthermore, both teams have already qualified for the Champions League. Nevertheless, we’re naturally still on the hunt for the best possible Villarreal vs. Atlético Madrid prediction and are taking a very close look at both teams.
We’ll start with the home and away records of both teams. The home side has fared significantly better than the visitors, as Marcelino’s team has earned 43 points from 18 home games, making them one of the strongest home teams in the entire league.
When we also consider that the visiting team has only managed to secure 23 points on the road, the so-called home advantage seems likely to play a significant role in this matchup. This is probably also one of the reasons why the odds for a Villarreal vs. Atlético Madrid prediction favor a home win.
In recent weeks, Marcelino’s team has suffered two consecutive losses, thereby squandering a six-point lead over the “Colchoneros.” Conversely, this naturally means that the visitors have won their last two La Liga matches. In terms of form, Diego Simeone’s team thus holds a slight advantage. At this point, however, we must also note that the Madrid side faced two significantly easier opponents than FCV.
Villarreal – Atlético Madrid Head-to-Head Record
Even after taking a look at the fourth section of our analysis, it should be clear to you why we don’t quite agree with the bookmakers’ Villarreal vs. Atlético Madrid odds. To be precise, Marcelino’s team has actually been waiting for a win against AM since August 21, 2022.
For us, this is actually the main reason why the Villarreal vs. Atlético Madrid betting odds should favor a win for the away team. In a head-to-head comparison, however, one thing stands out even more clearly, and that is the number of goals. In the past six matches, an average of 3.17 goals were scored—and in five of those, both teams found the net.
Villarreal – Atletico Madrid Tip
Taking all the above facts into account, we have decided on the Villarreal vs. Atletico Madrid betting tip “both teams to score – yes” in combination with over 2.5 goals.
While this matchup is mainly just about prestige at this point, that’s exactly why we think it will be an open game.
Both teams have nothing to lose and can put on a bit of a show for the fans to wrap up the season. Furthermore, recent matches between these two teams have been relatively high-scoring, so we expect at least three goals in this game as well.
Alternatively, you can also add the Villarreal vs. Atlético Madrid odds for the visitors to earn a point to your betting slip. Diego Simeone’s team has been in better form recently and also has a stronger squad. Furthermore, Villarreal last beat Atlético Madrid nearly four years ago—so the Colchoneros are definitely not their favorite opponent.
