Will Struffi advance to the second round?
A German-Argentine showdown is set to take place between Jan-Lennard Struff and Camilo Ugo Carabelli, and here’s a prediction: Both players have had a mediocre hard-court season so far. The German was knocked out in the first round at the recent Masters in Montreal, and at the subsequent tournament in Cincinnati, he barely made it past the first round.
Carabelli isn’t faring any better, though: At both of the aforementioned Masters tournaments leading up to the 2026 US Open, he lost his opening match, and at the Challenger warm-up tournament in Cancun, Mexico, he had to retire from his second-round match due to injury.
We therefore consider both players to be in shaky form, but the Argentine also appears to be physically struggling. Against this backdrop, we’re predicting a victory for the German in the match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
However, since the German isn’t expected to cruise through Flushing Meadows, the odds for a Struff vs. Carabelli match going to more than three sets are equally attractive.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Jan-Lennard Struff Head-to-Head Record
The two players are facing off for the first time. For this debut matchup between Jan-Lennard Struff and Camilo Ugo Carabelli, the betting odds point toward a victory for the player from Warstein.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction
Last year, Jan-Lennard Struff reached the round of 16 at the US Open for the first time in his career. This bodes well for the upcoming edition of the Grand Slam tournament in New York. In Camilo Ugo Carabelli, the German now faces a beatable opponent in his opening match.
The Argentine has been inconsistent leading up to the US Open and had to retire from his last match at the Challenger tournament in Cancun due to an injury. We therefore favor “Struffi”—despite his own form also leaving room for improvement—and, in the matchup between Jan-Lennard Struff and Camilo Ugo Carabelli, we’re predicting he’ll advance to the second round.
Another factor in his favor is that his opponent hasn’t won a single match at the tournament on the U.S. East Coast. Instead, in his only appearances so far over the past two years, he’s been knocked out in the first round every time.
