Will Alcaraz show his flair for the game?
The lost Wimbledon final has been digested, and form has been regained in the first matches of the Cincinnati Open. We see no warning signs for our Rublev vs. Alcaraz tip and are predicting a straight-sets victory for the Spaniard. The 22-year-old himself described his last match against Luca Nardi (6-1, 6-4) as his best performance of the tournament so far.
The second participant in our Rublev – Alcaraz prediction also put in a commanding performance. The Russian won his round of 16 match against Francisco Comesana without dropping a set and, like Alcaraz, lost only five games in total. However, his chances of reaching the last four are slim given the Rublev vs. Alcaraz betting odds.
Rublev is currently looking for a way back into the top 10 and is certainly close in eleventh place. Unlike his Spanish counterpart, the 27-year-old has already played several hard court tournaments since Wimbledon. In Los Cabos, the 17-time tour title winner advanced to the semi-finals.
His journey continued to Washington, where he lost his first match against Learner Tien in a surprising defeat (5-7, 2-6). His form then improved again in Canada, where Rublev fulfilled his duties and only failed to keep up against Taylor Fritz (3-6, 6-7).
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Rublev – Alcaraz Head-to-head comparison / H2H record
The playing styles of these two opponents differ in many ways. Rublev is considered an aggressive baseliner who prefers to win points with his powerful forehand. His first serve is good, but his second serve is a critical factor in his game. His consistent tennis has only helped the Russian to one victory in four direct encounters against Alcaraz.
The 27-year-old is having a solid season, but his record on outdoor hard courts is not particularly good (13-8). His win rate on this surface (58 percent) is far surpassed by Alcaraz (76 percent). The Spaniard’s game is more versatile and has produced at least 50 tour-level wins for the fourth year in a row.
Rublev – Alcaraz Tip
No other player on the tour has won more return games than Alcaraz (32.21 percent) this calendar year. The world number two has his sights set on his first triumph in Cincinnati after missing out on his best opportunity to date in the 2023 final against Novak Djokovic. So far this calendar year, the 21-time ATP title winner has racked up 18 wins at Masters level (2 losses) and made a strong impression.
Rublev’s record at Masters level this season is modest (7-6) and his performances against top 10 players over the same period have not been particularly impressive (1-3). So far, the two have met twice on hard courts, albeit indoors. Alcaraz won both encounters without dropping a set. The balance of power is unlikely to change significantly in the open air.
