The Spurs on the verge of a new home record
Most recently, Tottenham Hotspur have been particularly impressive in front of their home crowd in the Champions League. In their two home games against Copenhagen and Villarreal, they celebrated commanding clean sheet victories and presented themselves as extremely stable defensively. Last weekend, they also made a breakthrough in the league when they secured their first home win since the first matchday against Burnley against Brentford – again without conceding a goal. With this momentum behind them, Spurs now hope to make their third home game in the Champions League against Slavia Prague a successful one, once again keeping a clean sheet and thus taking an important step towards qualifying for the top 24.
The English side are currently in 16th place with eight points and are still very much in the race. Thanks to the Czechs’ weak offense, the next three points seem very realistic. In our Tottenham vs. Slavia Prague prediction, we are betting on the Hotspurs’ third home win of this CL season and combining it with under 3.5 goals. Because even though Slavia’s offense is not convincing, they have never conceded more than three goals in their five games so far.
However, as mentioned, Slavia’s offense is their biggest problem – since the 2-2 draw against Bodö on the first matchday, Prague has failed to score in four games, although they have also kept two clean sheets. Overall, they are in 31st place with three points and have a record of three draws and two losses.
Tottenham vs. Slavia Prague Prediction AI
According to our Tottenham vs. Slavia Prague AI prediction, the hosts are the clear favorites in this game with a probability of winning of over 72%. And this probability also gives us the value tip – the bookmaker Interwetten is offering odds of 1.45 on the hosts in the Tottenham vs. Slavia Prague match, which corresponds to a probability of around 68%. This means that betting on the English team has a positive expected value.
Tottenham – Statistics & current form
Tottenham goes into this match in a very solid position overall in European competition. The head-to-head record alone clearly favors the Spurs: in the four competitive matches against Slavia Prague between 2006 and 2008 in the UEFA Cup, the English club remained unbeaten, winning three of those games and drawing one.
The Londoners are currently showing stability on the international stage as well, because despite their recent defeat against Paris Saint-Germain, they have not lost two consecutive games in major European competitions since March 2020. Tottenham are particularly strong at their own stadium. They have not conceded a goal in their last three home games in the Champions League, meaning that four consecutive home clean sheets in the history of the competition are now possible for the first time. Of course, a bet on another clean sheet in the Tottenham vs. Slavia Prague match would not be unreasonable.
Porro as the key on the wing
In terms of play, Tottenham relies heavily on structure and dynamism on the wings. Pedro Porro plays a key role in this: he is not only the player with the most crosses from open play in the first five matchdays, but also the full-back with the most successful forward passes under pressure from opponents. Only Nuno Mendes of Paris SG has played more line-breaking passes than the Spaniard so far.
In attack, Randal Kolo Muani provides efficiency. With four direct goal contributions in four Champions League games, he has collected more points than ever before in a single edition and, with a strong away performance against Paris SG, recently joined a small, historic circle of Tottenham players with at least three goal contributions in a Champions League away game.
Slavia Prague – Statistics & current form
Slavia Prague, on the other hand, are traveling with considerable form problems and have been waiting for a win in major European competitions for twelve games. With five draws and seven defeats, this is the club’s longest winless streak since the period between October 2007 and December 2009. We therefore expect another defeat in our Tottenham vs. Slavia Prague prediction.
Slavia are currently particularly harmless in attack: they have failed to score in their last four Champions League games, meaning that another goalless performance would set a new negative record, last achieved by Milan in October 2023. Historically, the Czechs have also struggled against English opponents. In 16 European Cup games, they have only managed two wins, both in the UEFA Cup and Europa League, while Slavia is still winless against English teams in the Champions League.
Slavia lacks efficiency
Nevertheless, their style of play in the current season is statistically striking. Slavia has the lowest PPDA value of all Champions League teams and plays extremely high-pressing football. However, this early pressing rarely leads to ball wins in dangerous areas, as only three teams have been able to force fewer high ball wins.
When in possession, Slavia often looks to play down the wings and is one of the best teams in the competition when it comes to successful crosses from open play. However, a lack of punch in the penalty area means that these approaches have so far been inconsequential. Taken together, the figures show a team with a high willingness to run and press, but one that clearly falls short of its own ambitions in terms of both efficiency and international results.
Tottenham – Slavia Prague Head-to-head record
The head-to-head record clearly favors Tottenham. In four competitive matches against Slavia Prague to date, all of which took place in the UEFA Cup or Europa League, the English club has remained unbeaten. Tottenham won three of the four encounters, one game ended in a draw, while Slavia are yet to win. The goal difference also underlines this superiority, as Tottenham scored a total of five goals and conceded only two.
Tottenham – Slavia Prague Tip
Tottenham goes into this match against Prague as the clear favorite thanks to its quality of play and home advantage. The Hotspurs have not conceded a goal in their last three CL home games, while the Czechs have not scored in four CL games. However, Slavia have never conceded more than three goals in a CL game this season, which is why we are leaning towards a home win with under 3.5 goals in the game.
In addition, Slavia are still winless against English teams in the Champions League, as well as in general this season. However, they have already managed two clean sheets, so they can at least rely on their defense to some extent. For us, the safe bet seems to be no goals on either side, which we are playing at Bet365.
