Will this be Kosta Runjaic’s final match against Milan?
The match between Udinese and AC Milan is significant not only on the field but also off it. Anyone looking for an Udinese vs. AC Milan prediction must consider not only the Rossoneri’s status as favorites but also the boycott by Milan fans.
Because an away ticket is reportedly costing 65 euros—more than twice the usual price—Milan fans have decided to stay away from the match. On the field, the visitors certainly have the edge, but after Thursday’s lopsided 0–3 loss to Bournemouth in the Europa League, Milan must recover from both the physical toll and a mentally devastating setback.
At Udinese, however, the situation is even more dire. After earning four points from their first two league games—including a respectable 1-1 draw against Champions League participant Como—they’ve now suffered five straight losses. The low point was last week’s 0-3 defeat to Lecce, during which David Alaba was injured and will now be sidelined.
At the same time, speculation is mounting that this could be coach Kosta Runjaic’s final match, while former Milan coach Stefano Pioli has reportedly already been contacted as a potential successor. In my Udinese vs. AC Milan prediction, therefore, the turmoil at “Le Zebrette” and their poor home record play a central role. Udinese is still waiting for its first home win and has earned just one point from four games in front of its home crowd so far, while only Fiorentina has conceded more goals overall in Italy’s top flight.
AC Milan, on the other hand, is one of only four teams in Serie A still undefeated and has recorded four wins and three draws so far, with all three points dropped coming on the road. Following the aforementioned 0–3 loss at Bournemouth—in which Mike Maignan made a costly mistake that led to his ejection—coach Ruben Amorim’s team is looking to bounce back, but can rely on an offense that ranks among the top three in the league.
Udinese – AC Milan Head-to-Head Record
Overall, the head-to-head record favors AC Milan, which has won four of the last five matches against Udinese. However, in their most recent meeting on April 11, 2026, the Friulians secured an impressive 3-0 victory at San Siro.
Furthermore, more than 2.5 goals were scored in six of the last eight matches, while, curiously, five of the most recent six games ended with a victory for the visiting team. When evaluating the Udinese vs. AC Milan betting odds, therefore, both Milan’s strong overall record and its notable away and scoring trends are worth a closer look.
Udinese – AC Milan Prediction
Milan remains undefeated in Serie A and has won four of the last five head-to-head matches, while Udinese has suffered five consecutive losses and is still waiting for its first home win of the season. At the same time, more than 2.5 goals were scored in six of the last eight meetings, and Udinese has certainly shown offensive flair, having scored nine goals of its own. Furthermore, Milan’s fatigue should not be underestimated, as the Rossoneri played in England on Thursday and had to play with a man down for a long stretch after a red card—ideal conditions for a match in which both teams could create chances and score goals.
My Udinese vs. AC Milan pick therefore—somewhat conservatively—is for X2 & Over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.50, on which I’m betting six units. Those looking to take a more aggressive approach can alternatively consider Over 1.5 goals in the first half, as 13 goals have already been scored in Udinese’s first seven halves. Overall, one of the league’s most vulnerable defenses is facing one of the strongest attacking teams—a matchup that promises, at the very least, a lively Sunday evening in Udine. However, there won’t be any visiting fans, as they’ll be boycotting their team’s match due to high ticket prices.
