Can the Giallorossi stay in the top four?
Mathematically speaking, ACF Fiorentina—who spent two-thirds of the 2025/26 season in a direct relegation spot and have only been above the line since Matchday 27—could still be relegated. However, with twelve points still up for grabs and a nine-point lead over the first relegation spot, they shouldn’t have too much to worry about.
Especially if the prediction that the Gigliati (meaning “the Lilies”) will pick up a point against AS Roma in the Eternal City comes true. That’s not out of the question. After all, the Tuscan side is currently unbeaten in seven consecutive league matches (three wins, four draws).
However, AS Roma is one of the strongest home teams in the top flight of Italian soccer. Only Inter Milan (13) and Napoli (12) have recorded more home wins in league play during the 2025/26 season than the Wolves (11), who also boast the best defense in Serie A, having conceded just ten goals in 17 Serie A home games. So, we shouldn’t expect too many goals along the Tiber. Since we generally favor the home team but definitely want to cover the draw on our betting slip, we find the greatest value in this Monday night match—which concludes the 35th matchday of Serie A—in the Match Combo of the Double Chance 1X with under 3.5 goals.
On the other hand, those who don’t want to categorically rule out a narrow victory for the visiting team—which would allow them to officially celebrate their likely already-secured league survival—can also bet neutrally on a match that won’t be too high-scoring. Both the bet on under 2.5 goals and the bet that only one team will score are interesting options here.
AS Roma – Fiorentina Head-to-Head Record
Head to Head: 70 – 68 – 60
A total of 198 matches have taken place between these two historic clubs so far, and with 70 wins, AS Roma leads the head-to-head record. The Giallorossi also won the first leg in Tuscany 2-1. At home in the Eternal City, the Wolves have remained unbeaten against ACF Fiorentina in Serie A for seven consecutive matches (five wins, two draws). Their most recent home match resulted in a narrow 1-0 victory.
AS Roma – Fiorentina Prediction
Generally speaking, the prediction for AS Roma vs. Fiorentina naturally favors the capital club, who have been strong at home, winning eleven of their 17 Serie A home games in the 2025/26 season, conceding just ten goals in the process (the best record in the league), and remaining unbeaten against the Viola in their last seven home matches (five wins, two draws). However, the Tuscan side has overcome its slump and remains unbeaten in seven consecutive league matches (three wins, four draws). It won’t be a walk in the park for the Giallorossi to secure a win and stay in touch with the top four in the table.
We don’t expect a high-scoring game on Monday evening at the Stadio Olimpico. Since we also consider a draw to be anything but unlikely, the combined bet on Double Chance 1X with under 3.5 goals covers a wide range of possibilities.
