Will the Catalans leave nothing to chance in Pamplona?
With an 11-point lead over Real Madrid, the question is no longer whether FC Barcelona will win the league title, but simply when. In any case, it won’t happen this Saturday in Pamplona, because even if the Blaugrana secure an away win against Osasuna, the Madrid side would have a chance the very next day to cut the deficit back to those eleven points—a margin that, in theory, could still be made up over the remaining four matchdays.
Moreover, the Catalans’ away match at Estadio El Sadar won’t be a walk in the park. Not only did Barca lose their last La Liga away match in Pamplona 2-4, but CA Osasuna is actually one of the strongest home teams in La Liga—and desperately needs more points in the fight for a potential European spot.
The Rojillos have lost only two of their 16 home games so far in the 2025/26 season (nine wins, five draws). Accordingly, we would strongly advise against the three-way system and instead recommend the Osasuna vs. Barcelona prediction that both teams will score.
On paper, the Catalans are naturally superior to the team from Navarra, as evidenced by their recent record. Barca has won eight of their last nine competitive matches against the Rojillos (one loss), though Osasuna is entering this match in strong form. In La Liga, they haven’t lost any of their last ten home games (six wins, four draws), and just recently even sent Real Madrid home with a 2-1 loss, which was quite decisive for the title race at that point.
Osasuna – Barcelona Head-to-Head Record
Head-to-Head: 21 – 19 – 60
There have been 100 competitive matches between the two teams so far, and with 60 wins, FC Barcelona holds a clear lead in the head-to-head record.
The Catalans have also won eight of their last nine matches against CA Osasuna, but suffered a 2-4 defeat in their most recent away game at Estadio El Sadar. It was their first loss in Pamplona since February 2012.
Osasuna – Barcelona Prediction
Generally speaking, our prediction for Osasuna vs. Barcelona leans toward an away win for the Blaugrana. However, considering that the title race is essentially decided and that this match really only matters for the hosts—who, trailing by two points in sixth place, are still eyeing a possible spot in European competition—the three-way system carries far too much risk.
Especially since CA Osasuna is exceptionally strong at home, having lost only two of their 16 La Liga home games in the 2025/26 season (nine wins, five draws).
Nevertheless, we expect Hansi Flick’s team to go for the win in Pamplona, which could potentially make for a high-scoring affair. Accordingly, we recommend betting on both teams to score, for which Betano is offering odds of 1.52 on Osasuna vs. Barcelona.
