Will Venezia remain the only team without any points?
Roma, Inter Milan, and Como currently occupy the top three spots in Serie A—exactly where one would expect them to be. More surprising, however, is Lazio Rome’s current fourth-place standing; under coach Gennaro Gattuso, the team has gotten off to an excellent start to the new season and has already collected ten points after four matchdays. It is precisely this strong showing that is a key reason why lower odds are being offered on the capital club’s away win ahead of the Venezia vs. Lazio Rome match.
Moreover, the newly promoted team from the picturesque lagoon city is an opponent currently struggling with form. After four matchdays, Venezia remains without a single point and has already conceded 11 goals—the highest in the league. Three of their four losses were by a margin of at least two goals, including a 2–4 home defeat against Fiorentina and a 0–2 loss to Lecce. I’m therefore ruling out a Venezia vs. Lazio Rome prediction in favor of the hosts relatively quickly, especially since Lazio is considered the stronger team in its current form and has also made a better impression so far compared to Venezia’s previous home opponents.
Another problem is the tight roster situation at Venezia: Star signing Armel Bella-Kotchap, who was expected to stabilize the defense following Michael Svoboda’s departure to Brighton, is currently unavailable. Matías Moreno and Gianluca Busio, both key players, are also questionable or injured, with captain Busio even facing a prolonged absence according to recent reports.
Although Lazio has outperformed expectations in terms of expected points (xPoints) so far (ten points instead of five), the capital club’s remarkable efficiency could be the deciding factor in a close match. That’s why, in the Venezia vs. Lazio Rome matchup, I’d bet on the visitors to win.
Venezia – Lazio Rome Head-to-Head Record
After just one year in Serie B, Venezia has returned to Italy’s top flight, so the most recent head-to-head matches against Lazio Rome date back to the 2024–25 season. Back then, the team from the lagoon city managed a 0–0 draw at home after Lazio had prevailed 3–1 in the first leg at the Stadio Olimpico.
Overall, the head-to-head record clearly favors the Romans. The “Winged Lions” managed only one victory, back in 2000, while Lazio has since won six matches and drawn three more. The head-to-head record thus supports my preferred Venezia vs. Lazio Rome betting odds for an away win.
Venezia – Lazio Rome Prediction
The situation heading into the match could hardly be clearer. After four matchdays, Venezia sits at the bottom of the table with zero points, while Lazio is in fourth place with ten points. The Romans are still undefeated and have also won both of their away games so far—1–0 in Bologna and 2–1 at Udinese. The bottom-of-the-table team is also dealing with a tight personnel situation; among others, captain Gianluca Busio is out with a muscle injury and German defensive leader Bella-Kotchap is sidelined, while other key players are questionable.
For the Venezia vs. Lazio Rome match, I see enough reasons to back Lazio for the away win, despite it being early in the season. Gattuso’s team has a higher-quality roster, has been significantly more efficient so far, and also brings much more momentum to the game. Venezia has already conceded eleven goals and lost all four of its league matches, while Lazio has won twice on the road.
