Will a set piece be enough for the visitors to win?
Two Scandinavian teams fill our Brann Bergen vs. Midtjylland tip with content. Neither team is at a disadvantage due to a lack of playing practice – both are currently in a winter break at the national level, which is only interrupted by the Europa League.
The Danes have so far made better use of the European competition than the Norwegian club. Ahead of our Brann Bergen vs. Midtjylland prediction, the visitors are in second place in the table (15 points) – seven points behind are the proud team from Bergen (8 points).
According to our analysis, the advantage in favor of the visitors is likely to be even greater. We add the expected points as an indicator for the Brann Bergen vs. Midtjylland odds. The visitors (5th) have similar advantages here over Freyr Alexandersson’s team (22nd).
The offensive package in particular shows clear differences. The visitors have been pursuing a clear plan for years, forcing quick transitions and maintaining the quality of their set pieces in daily training. No other club has scored more set-piece goals than the Wolves (6) in the current Europa League season.
Defensively, Mike Tullberg’s players are well-versed, not shying away from tactical fouls when necessary and committing the most fouls per EL matchday on average (16.0) without running the risk of conceding set-piece goals (0).
Brann Bergen – Midtjylland Head-to-head record
For the hosts, this is not only their first meeting with Midtjylland, but also their first European clash with a Danish team. The last meeting between a Norwegian and a Danish club in the three European competitions took place in 2012/2013 between Molde and Copenhagen. At that time, the Danish representative won both group matches 2-1.
We can even imagine a final score of “under 2.5 goals” for this match. On average, Brann Bergen’s Europa League matches have only seen 2.16 goals. In addition, the home side’s offense has only created 6.66 xG worth of scoring chances.
Brann Bergen – Midtjylland Tip
The visitors have performed formidably in the first few rounds of matches, always following a clear game plan and even achieving some surprising successes. The Wolves have racked up five wins in the first six matchdays, including victories against Nottingham (3-2) and Celtic Glasgow (3-1).
Mike Tullberg’s team suffered their only defeat on the fifth matchday against AS Roma (1-2). Otherwise, the second-placed team showed no weaknesses, winning three of the remaining five matches without conceding a goal and conceding no more than 6.68 expected goals.
Tullberg’s team’s play is based on few passes when in possession, with the aim of crossing the field as quickly as possible and getting a shot off. The visitors play only 2.86 passes per sequence – the third-lowest figure of all Europa League participants.
Despite the high verticality of their passing game, the Wolves hardly allow themselves any mistakes. Midtjylland conceded only one opponent shot as a result of an individual error – the best figure in the entire Europa League!
