The Reds travel to Old Trafford as underdogs
Everything points to Manchester United returning to the Champions League next season. They currently hold an 11-point lead over sixth-place Brighton. The Red Devils themselves, incidentally, sit in third place—one spot ahead of their upcoming opponent from the city of the Beatles. After years of deep gloom, it is none other than former pro Michael Carrick who has managed to bring the sleeping giant back to life.
However, Bruno Fernandes, Kobie Mainoo, and the rest of the squad have truly earned the favorite status reflected in the betting odds for Manchester United vs. Liverpool. Since Carrick took over the reins from Amorim, no other club in England’s top flight has earned more points than the Red Devils. They have won nine out of 13 Premier League matches. In addition, there were two draws and only two losses. By comparison, Amorim actually accumulated fewer points in total over the first 20 matchdays.
Given their proven home strength, my prediction for the Manchester United vs. Liverpool match leans toward the home team. Carrick’s team has won six of its last seven PL home games. In the home standings—where the historic club finished 14th in the 2024/25 season—only two clubs, the title contenders Arsenal and Manchester City, have accumulated more points.
As if the task at the Theater of Dreams weren’t complicated enough for Liverpool Football Club, the situation is further complicated by the fact that the Reds have won only one of their last twelve league matches against teams currently in the top three. Another problem is that head coach Arne Slot’s squad has lost five of their last six away games. Just two weeks ago in the derby at Everton FC, they managed a narrow 2-1 victory, which was only secured in stoppage time by Virgil van Dijk.
All in all, there are several betting recommendations. One option would be to bet on a home win for Manchester United against Liverpool, which pays 2.37 at Betano. However, a potential bet on under 3.5 goals is even more interesting. In three of LFC’s last twelve games, there were three goals or fewer. For United, the three-goal mark wasn’t even reached in eight of their previous ten Premier League matches.
Manchester United – Liverpool Head-to-Head Comparison / H2H Record
The clash between these two archrivals naturally always carries a special intensity. Manchester United has rarely been able to prevail against LFC in recent history. More specifically, there have been only three MUFC wins looking back at the past 19 Premier League meetings (3-9-7).
Even at Old Trafford, the Reds have come out on top in three of their last five attempts. Nevertheless, Manchester United has a chance on Sunday afternoon to secure their first season double—meaning wins in both the home and away matches—since 2015/16. The long-dormant giant won the first leg at Anfield Road 2-1.
Manchester United – Liverpool Prediction
Manchester United and Liverpool are currently separated by just three points in the table. It would still be presumptuous to speak of this duel as carrying any grand significance. Instead, it is virtually certain that both clubs will be competing in the Champions League next season. Nevertheless, this is, of course, a clash between two archrivals, which automatically brings excitement and intensity. That is one of the reasons why I believe the match will likely be low-scoring.
In addition to a potential bet on Under 1.5 (1st half) or a home win for the Red Devils—who have won six of their last seven PL home games—it also makes sense to place a bet on Under goals after 90 minutes between Manchester United and Liverpool. This is where bet365 comes into play, as they traditionally offer strong odds for Asian handicaps. The Under 3.25 at 1.76 particularly appeals to me, which is why I’m risking six units as a hypothetical stake.
