Will the Spurs send the champions packing?
The home team is banking on home-court advantage in this blockbuster matchup: They’ve won six of their seven postseason games in front of their own fans! However, they suffered their only loss against their upcoming opponent, and the last matchup in Texas ended in a crushing 91-118 defeat.
We therefore see the momentum in the series slightly favoring the visiting franchise from the “Lone Star State” and, for Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs, we’re predicting that the hosts won’t win by six or more points.
Furthermore, we expect another strong performance from Victor Wembanyama. The Frenchman is averaging 28.2 points in the Western Conference Finals—the highest output of any player on the court.
Against this backdrop, the odds for “Wemby” to score more than 26.5 points again in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs game also look very promising. This is also supported by the unique nature of this do-or-die game, in which the 2023 first overall pick is determined to prove once again that he would have been the better MVP choice this year, rather than the Canadian guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the home team’s side.
In addition, we believe the odds on over 211.5 points could be worth a bet. OKC’s home games have been significantly higher-scoring, averaging 118.8 points, compared to the Spurs’ home games in the series, which in turn average no more than 102.5 points!
Oklahoma City Thunder – San Antonio Spurs Head-to-Head Record
The series stands at 3-3 following the Spurs’ latest victory, and OKC has already faced the Spurs at home four times this year, including the regular season. The record stands at 3-1 in favor of the home team.
For the upcoming matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs, the betting odds also slightly favor a home win for the defending champions.
Oklahoma City Thunder – San Antonio Spurs Pick
The Western Conference Finals are living up to the hype! With OKC and the Spurs, the two best teams from the Western Conference regular season are facing off, and now it will take a “Game Seven” to determine who will face the New York Knicks from the East in the Finals.
Oklahoma has home-court advantage, and Coach Mark Daigneault’s men have generally capitalized on it in the playoffs. The two-time NBA champions have lost only one of seven home games in the 2026 postseason!
However, from a competitive standpoint, the visitors are on equal footing, and their recent decisive home victory has further boosted the Texans’ confidence. We therefore expect a particularly close game at the Paycom Center and, in the matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs, are betting on the visitors not losing by six or more points.
