Can Struffi give the Californian a run for his money?
If the prediction that Jan-Lennard Struff will secure his next victory against Brandon Nakashima comes true, Struffi would even his Wimbledon record. Thanks to his narrow 3-2 opening-round victory over Sebastian Báez, the Warstein native now stands at ten wins against eleven losses.
His American opponent, however, has reached the third round at Church Road in each of the past two years and didn’t give local favorite Jack Pinnington Jones a chance in the first round, winning 3–0 in straight sets. However, the 24-year-old had to play his match over two days, as the match had to be postponed to the following day due to darkness while he held a 2-0 set lead.
This means Brandon Nakashima will be on the court at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, which could potentially be a factor. While our prediction for the match between Brandon Nakashima and Jan-Lennard Struff favors the Californian, the American just had to withdraw from Eastbourne due to back problems, so it’s unclear to what extent not having had a full day of rest might affect him. We therefore definitely think Struffi is capable of winning a set. We see the best value in this second-round match in betting that over 3.5 sets will be played.
Brandon Nakashima – Jan-Lennard Struff Head-to-Head Record
Head-to-Head: 0:0
There has never been a ranked singles match between these two players, who are now facing each other for the very first time on the ATP Tour. Consequently, there is no “head-to-head” data available that could influence our prediction for Brandon Nakashima vs. Jan-Lennard Struff.
Brandon Nakashima – Jan-Lennard Struff Prediction
The 36-year-old German tends to score many quick points on his own serve. As long as he hits plenty of aces and earns numerous free points, the match is likely to be a close one. However, as soon as Struffi’s serve falters, the 24-year-old American’s strong return game is likely to increasingly make an impact, which is why, all things considered, our prediction for the Brandon Nakashima vs. Jan-Lennard Struff match leans toward the Californian advancing.
Nevertheless, Struff—especially if he gets off to a strong start—could very well pull off an upset—particularly if Nakashima’s recent back issues end up being a factor again.
Admittedly, quite a few things would have to align for a German victory. However, we also consider it unlikely that Struff will go down 0-3. Consequently, there’s a lot of value in betting that this match will go the distance. We’re therefore betting on over 3.5 sets. For this, Bet-at-home is offering odds of 1.53 on Brandon Nakashima vs. Jan-Lennard Struff, and we’re staking six out of ten units on it.
